Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Nucor Corporation (0K9L.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.46 - $147.69$113.77
Multi-Stage$109.83 - $120.34$114.98
Blended Fair Value$114.38
Current Price$138.04
Upside-17.14%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.19%0.95%2.252.222.302.082.122.122.092.092.072.06
YoY Growth--1.36%-3.56%10.45%-1.66%-0.08%1.38%0.01%0.88%0.34%0.91%
Dividend Yield--2.18%1.12%1.49%1.39%2.65%5.94%3.58%3.42%3.47%4.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,653.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)513.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,139.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)330.61206.63123.98
Cash Retained (M)1,139.871,139.871,139.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-330.61-206.63-123.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)809.26933.241,015.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)232.35232.35232.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.484.024.37
LTM Dividend per Share2.212.212.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.484.024.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.696.236.58
WACC / Discount Rate8.46%8.46%8.46%
Growth Rate1.83%2.83%3.83%
Fair Value$87.46$113.77$147.69
Upside / Downside-36.64%-17.58%6.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,653.031,699.811,747.921,797.391,848.251,900.561,957.58
Payout Ratio31.04%42.83%54.63%66.42%78.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)513.16728.12954.821,193.781,445.501,710.501,810.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.46%8.46%8.46%
Growth Rate1.83%2.83%3.83%
Year 1 PV (M)664.81671.34677.87
Year 2 PV (M)796.02811.73827.59
Year 3 PV (M)908.71935.74963.31
Year 4 PV (M)1,004.651,044.701,085.94
Year 5 PV (M)1,085.481,139.841,196.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,058.8622,113.3923,209.74
Equity Value (M)25,518.5326,716.7427,960.80
Shares Outstanding (M)232.35232.35232.35
Fair Value$109.83$114.98$120.34
Upside / Downside-20.44%-16.70%-12.82%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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