Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Misto Holdings Corp. (081660.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$122,603.78 - $599,588.00$261,241.39
Multi-Stage$68,172.78 - $74,456.33$71,257.54
Blended Fair Value$166,249.47
Current Price$38,550.00
Upside331.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS101.76%45.01%1,773.391,707.551,909.03192.99231.2353.0453.04378.6349.0745.34
YoY Growth--3.86%-10.55%889.19%-16.54%335.91%0.00%-85.99%671.57%8.23%5.13%
Dividend Yield--4.67%4.43%5.23%0.61%0.54%0.18%0.07%1.74%0.35%0.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)173,682.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)108,953.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)64,728.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34,736.4621,710.2913,026.17
Cash Retained (M)64,728.6664,728.6664,728.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-34,736.46-21,710.29-13,026.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)29,992.2043,018.3751,702.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)57.6157.6157.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share520.63746.74897.49
LTM Dividend per Share1,891.291,891.291,891.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share520.63746.74897.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,411.922,638.042,788.78
WACC / Discount Rate7.58%7.58%7.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$122,603.78$261,241.39$599,588.00
Upside / Downside218.04%577.67%1,455.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)173,682.29184,971.64196,994.80209,799.46223,436.42237,959.79245,098.58
Payout Ratio62.73%68.19%73.64%79.09%84.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)108,953.63126,123.39145,064.89165,935.91188,907.26214,163.81226,716.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.58%7.58%7.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)116,140.94117,241.80118,342.66
Year 2 PV (M)123,010.36125,353.36127,718.47
Year 3 PV (M)129,571.49133,291.03137,081.07
Year 4 PV (M)135,833.67141,057.45146,430.47
Year 5 PV (M)141,805.99148,655.27155,766.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,280,935.093,439,405.483,603,940.91
Equity Value (M)3,927,297.554,105,004.404,289,280.28
Shares Outstanding (M)57.6157.6157.61
Fair Value$68,172.78$71,257.54$74,456.33
Upside / Downside76.84%84.84%93.14%

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