Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Lee & Man Chemical Company Limited (0746.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.39 - $15.86$12.95
Multi-Stage$14.09 - $15.43$14.75
Blended Fair Value$13.85
Current Price$3.77
Upside267.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.23%7.18%0.280.220.700.420.220.330.430.140.100.15
YoY Growth--27.26%-68.57%64.71%88.89%-31.82%-23.26%207.14%40.00%-33.33%7.14%
Dividend Yield--7.48%7.34%10.74%5.37%6.45%9.48%7.94%2.45%4.10%6.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)941.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)334.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)607.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)188.33117.7170.62
Cash Retained (M)607.55607.55607.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-188.33-117.71-70.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)419.22489.85536.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)827.52827.52827.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.510.590.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.510.590.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.911.001.05
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate0.59%1.59%2.59%
Fair Value$10.39$12.95$15.86
Upside / Downside175.71%243.55%320.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)941.65956.63971.85987.301,003.011,018.961,049.53
Payout Ratio35.48%46.38%57.29%68.19%79.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)334.10443.72556.75673.26793.34917.06970.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate0.59%1.59%2.59%
Year 1 PV (M)401.60405.60409.59
Year 2 PV (M)456.07465.18474.39
Year 3 PV (M)499.16514.20529.53
Year 4 PV (M)532.35553.84575.97
Year 5 PV (M)556.96585.20614.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,212.089,679.1710,165.02
Equity Value (M)11,658.2312,203.1912,769.08
Shares Outstanding (M)827.52827.52827.52
Fair Value$14.09$14.75$15.43
Upside / Downside273.69%291.16%309.30%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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