Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Beijing Enterprises Water Group Limited (0371.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.56 - $3.79$3.15
Multi-Stage$7.82 - $8.62$8.21
Blended Fair Value$5.68
Current Price$2.16
Upside163.03%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.48%11.24%0.140.160.130.170.160.190.160.120.100.08
YoY Growth---8.28%15.78%-20.06%4.15%-14.69%18.92%30.38%28.13%19.46%62.04%
Dividend Yield--5.70%8.86%6.74%5.56%5.19%4.81%4.00%1.97%1.85%1.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,285.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,102.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,182.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)657.05410.66246.39
Cash Retained (M)1,182.631,182.631,182.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-657.05-410.66-246.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)525.58771.98936.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10,034.5010,034.5010,034.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.290.30
WACC / Discount Rate5.80%5.80%5.80%
Growth Rate-4.03%-3.03%-2.03%
Fair Value$2.56$3.15$3.79
Upside / Downside18.48%45.77%75.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,285.263,185.873,089.482,996.022,905.382,817.482,902.00
Payout Ratio64.00%69.20%74.40%79.60%84.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,102.632,204.672,298.612,384.852,463.772,535.732,684.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.80%5.80%5.80%
Growth Rate-4.03%-3.03%-2.03%
Year 1 PV (M)2,062.372,083.862,105.35
Year 2 PV (M)2,011.462,053.602,096.17
Year 3 PV (M)1,952.232,013.892,076.83
Year 4 PV (M)1,886.651,966.522,048.90
Year 5 PV (M)1,816.431,913.052,013.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)68,736.5572,392.9376,203.28
Equity Value (M)78,465.6982,423.8586,544.27
Shares Outstanding (M)10,034.5010,034.5010,034.50
Fair Value$7.82$8.21$8.62
Upside / Downside262.02%280.28%299.29%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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