Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

The Hershey Company (HSY)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food ConfectionersSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$150.76 - $381.30$227.11
Multi-Stage$111.58 - $121.51$116.46
Blended Fair Value$171.79
Current Price$184.11
Upside-6.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.19%9.43%5.344.373.813.373.153.002.772.592.462.34
YoY Growth--22.02%14.71%12.98%7.06%4.98%8.50%6.89%5.37%4.90%8.11%
Dividend Yield--3.12%2.21%1.48%1.56%1.98%2.18%2.43%2.67%2.26%2.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,359.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,084.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)275.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)271.97169.98101.99
Cash Retained (M)275.39275.39275.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-271.97-169.98-101.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.42105.41173.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)203.33203.33203.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.520.85
LTM Dividend per Share5.335.335.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.520.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.355.856.19
WACC / Discount Rate9.24%9.24%9.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$150.76$227.11$381.30
Upside / Downside-18.11%23.36%107.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,359.831,448.221,542.361,642.611,749.381,863.091,918.98
Payout Ratio79.75%81.80%83.85%85.90%87.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,084.451,184.631,293.251,410.991,538.571,676.781,775.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.24%9.24%9.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,074.211,084.391,094.57
Year 2 PV (M)1,063.391,083.651,104.09
Year 3 PV (M)1,052.061,082.261,113.03
Year 4 PV (M)1,040.251,080.261,121.40
Year 5 PV (M)1,028.021,077.671,129.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,428.7418,270.5619,144.59
Equity Value (M)22,686.6623,678.7724,706.91
Shares Outstanding (M)203.33203.33203.33
Fair Value$111.58$116.46$121.51
Upside / Downside-39.40%-36.75%-34.00%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 114 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
002026.SZShandong Weida Machinery Co., Ltd.0.51%$0.0810.33%
005290.KQDongjin Semichem Co., Ltd.0.51%$201.318.88%
042670.KSHD Hyundai Infracore Co., Ltd.0.51%$69.8029.90%
043150.KQValue Added Technology Co., Ltd.0.51%$100.023.01%
098460.KQKoh Young Technology Inc.0.51%$138.2152.02%
300115.SZShenzhen Everwin Precision Technology Co., Ltd.0.51%$0.2450.31%
300473.SZFuxin Dare Automotive Parts Co., Ltd.0.51%$0.1526.00%
300650.SZTecnon Electronics Co., Ltd.0.51%$0.0833.85%
300722.SZJiangxi Xinyu Guoke Technology Co., Ltd0.51%$0.1880.85%
300930.SZHangzhou Yitong New Material Co., Ltd.0.51%$0.1526.67%
301000.SZShanghai Hajime Advanced Material Technology Co., Ltd.0.51%$0.2033.61%
301012.SZJiangsu Yangdian Science & Technology Co. Ltd.0.51%$0.1451.85%
3387.TCreate Restaurants Holdings Inc.0.51%$3.9930.05%
4050.SRSaudi Automotive Services Company0.51%$0.2938.33%
600506.SSTongyi Carbon Neutral Energy (Xinjiang) Co., Ltd. Class A0.51%$0.1347.25%
601696.SSBOC International (China) Co. Ltd.0.51%$0.0819.18%
603063.SSShenzhen Hopewind Electric Co., Ltd.0.51%$0.1714.73%
603160.SSShenzhen Goodix Technology Co., Ltd.0.51%$0.4122.46%
603300.SSZhejiang Haikong Nanke Huatie Digital Technology Co., Ltd. Class A0.51%$0.0412.23%
603738.SSTKD Science and Technology Co.,Ltd.0.51%$0.0880.55%
688088.SSArcSoft Corporation Limited0.51%$0.2543.82%
CENCOSUD.SNCencosud S.A.0.51%$15.0611.46%
KIN2.DEKinross Gold Corporation0.51%$0.128.34%
MSZ.WAMostostal Zabrze S.A.0.51%$0.035.90%
VCAP.LVector Capital Plc0.51%$0.0573.28%
000534.SZWedge Industrial Co.,Ltd.0.50%$0.1125.25%
000977.SZInspur Electronic Information Industry Co., Ltd.0.50%$0.3319.71%
002400.SZGuangdong Advertising Group Co.,Ltd0.50%$0.0473.00%
002806.SZGuangdong Huafeng New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd.0.50%$0.0619.01%
003043.SZSuzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology Co., Ltd.0.50%$0.2348.11%
042700.KSHANMI Semiconductor Co., Ltd.0.50%$717.1028.27%
0GOX.LPolytec Holding AG0.50%$0.0214.11%
0YAY.LVitrolife AB (publ)0.50%$1.1033.79%
1730.HKLHN Limited0.50%$0.0219.85%
2316.TWWUS Printed Circuit Co., Ltd.0.50%$0.506.30%
300443.SZJinlei Technology Co., Ltd.0.50%$0.1413.60%
600834.SSShanghai Shentong Metro Co.,Ltd.0.50%$0.0456.35%
603928.SSSuzhou Xingye Materials Technology Co.,Ltd.0.50%$0.0826.88%
605376.SSJiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock Co., Ltd.0.50%$0.3255.13%
6641.TNissin Electric Co., Ltd.0.50%$8.497.92%
688169.SSBeijing Roborock Technology Co., Ltd.0.50%$0.7612.76%
688798.SSShanghai Awinic Technology Co.,Ltd.0.50%$0.3824.95%
AMAN.JKPT Makmur Berkah Amanda Tbk0.50%$1.005.46%
ELOS-B.STElos Medtech AB (publ)0.50%$1.0114.74%
EXPL.PAEPC Groupe0.50%$1.044.79%
RHM.DERheinmetall AG0.50%$7.9744.89%
TFPMTriple Flag Precious Metals Corp.0.50%$0.1616.49%
000722.SZHunan Development Group Co.,Ltd0.49%$0.0637.76%
002126.SZZhejiang Yinlun Machinery Co.,Ltd.0.49%$0.1918.19%
002228.SZXiamen Hexing Packaging Printing Co., Ltd.0.49%$0.0224.24%