Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

RGC Resources, Inc. (RGCO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$125.76 - $254.52$238.51
Multi-Stage$49.35 - $54.06$51.66
Blended Fair Value$145.08
Current Price$22.44
Upside546.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.16%8.85%0.780.760.680.580.540.510.450.400.370.35
YoY Growth--3.60%11.32%16.65%7.19%7.50%12.28%12.91%8.07%5.70%3.99%
Dividend Yield--3.50%3.78%3.35%2.65%2.36%2.13%1.58%1.33%1.36%2.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.661.661.00
Cash Retained (M)4.914.914.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.66-1.66-1.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.263.253.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.3110.3110.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.320.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.810.810.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.320.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.031.131.19
WACC / Discount Rate5.66%5.66%5.66%
Growth Rate4.80%5.80%6.80%
Fair Value$125.76$238.51$254.52
Upside / Downside460.41%962.86%1,034.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13.2814.0514.8615.7316.6417.6018.13
Payout Ratio63.02%68.41%73.81%79.21%84.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.379.6110.9712.4614.0815.8416.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.66%5.66%5.66%
Growth Rate4.80%5.80%6.80%
Year 1 PV (M)9.019.109.18
Year 2 PV (M)9.649.8310.01
Year 3 PV (M)10.2610.5610.86
Year 4 PV (M)10.8711.3011.73
Year 5 PV (M)11.4712.0312.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)457.49479.73502.84
Equity Value (M)508.75532.55557.24
Shares Outstanding (M)10.3110.3110.31
Fair Value$49.35$51.66$54.06
Upside / Downside119.93%130.21%140.89%

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