Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Auswide Bank Ltd (ABA.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.12 - $9.05$7.52
Multi-Stage$23.70 - $26.19$24.92
Blended Fair Value$16.22
Current Price$3.74
Upside333.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.26%8.34%0.250.170.310.230.300.310.150.230.220.23
YoY Growth--49.36%-46.40%35.26%-21.48%-5.38%106.22%-32.91%5.17%-7.29%105.31%
Dividend Yield--6.73%3.13%5.16%3.58%6.12%6.02%2.70%4.40%4.23%4.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)36.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.264.542.72
Cash Retained (M)17.0617.0617.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.26-4.54-2.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.8012.5214.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.7745.7745.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.270.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.270.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.630.690.73
WACC / Discount Rate5.15%5.15%5.15%
Growth Rate-4.74%-3.74%-2.74%
Fair Value$6.12$7.52$9.05
Upside / Downside63.52%101.07%142.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)36.3034.9433.6332.3831.1730.0030.90
Payout Ratio53.00%60.40%67.80%75.20%82.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.2421.1022.8024.3525.7427.0028.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.15%5.15%5.15%
Growth Rate-4.74%-3.74%-2.74%
Year 1 PV (M)19.8620.0720.28
Year 2 PV (M)20.2020.6321.06
Year 3 PV (M)20.3020.9521.61
Year 4 PV (M)20.2021.0621.95
Year 5 PV (M)19.9421.0122.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)984.031,036.781,091.76
Equity Value (M)1,084.541,140.501,198.78
Shares Outstanding (M)45.7745.7745.77
Fair Value$23.70$24.92$26.19
Upside / Downside533.61%566.30%600.35%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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