Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Jacobson Pharma Corporation Limited (2633.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.89 - $4.60$3.67
Multi-Stage$3.99 - $4.37$4.18
Blended Fair Value$3.92
Current Price$1.18
Upside232.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-9.88%19.99%0.030.050.050.030.030.050.050.020.120.00
YoY Growth---36.36%-10.02%101.13%-18.18%-36.93%13.02%112.37%-82.55%13,195.83%-81.30%
Dividend Yield--2.59%8.27%5.49%4.08%3.37%3.64%2.86%1.18%7.66%0.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)539.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)197.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)341.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)107.9267.4540.47
Cash Retained (M)341.95341.95341.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-107.92-67.45-40.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)234.04274.51301.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,952.601,952.601,952.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.26
WACC / Discount Rate8.62%8.62%8.62%
Growth Rate0.90%1.90%2.90%
Fair Value$2.89$3.67$4.60
Upside / Downside144.89%210.77%289.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)539.58549.82560.26570.89581.72592.76610.54
Payout Ratio36.63%47.30%57.98%68.65%79.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)197.63260.07324.81391.92461.45533.48564.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.62%8.62%8.62%
Growth Rate0.90%1.90%2.90%
Year 1 PV (M)237.09239.44241.79
Year 2 PV (M)269.95275.32280.75
Year 3 PV (M)296.93305.85314.94
Year 4 PV (M)318.72331.55344.75
Year 5 PV (M)335.91352.89370.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,331.366,651.396,984.24
Equity Value (M)7,789.968,156.448,537.03
Shares Outstanding (M)1,952.601,952.601,952.60
Fair Value$3.99$4.18$4.37
Upside / Downside238.10%254.00%270.52%

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