Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

The Progressive Corporation (PGR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$365.55 - $820.79$529.42
Multi-Stage$264.60 - $288.91$276.53
Blended Fair Value$402.98
Current Price$246.95
Upside63.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-16.33%-2.77%1.150.400.406.372.642.801.110.670.880.69
YoY Growth--188.03%0.00%-93.75%141.55%-5.61%150.91%65.63%-23.82%28.59%-54.78%
Dividend Yield--0.41%0.19%0.28%5.59%2.76%3.79%1.53%1.10%2.25%1.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,713.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,870.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,842.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,142.701,339.19803.51
Cash Retained (M)7,842.607,842.607,842.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,142.70-1,339.19-803.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,699.906,503.417,039.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)587.84587.84587.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share9.7011.0611.97
LTM Dividend per Share4.884.884.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share9.7011.0611.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend14.5815.9516.86
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$365.55$529.42$820.79
Upside / Downside48.02%114.38%232.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,713.5011,409.8812,151.5212,941.3713,782.5614,678.4215,118.78
Payout Ratio26.80%39.44%52.08%64.72%77.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,870.904,499.786,328.298,375.5010,662.1013,210.5813,984.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,063.094,101.604,140.11
Year 2 PV (M)5,159.605,257.885,357.08
Year 3 PV (M)6,166.026,343.026,523.38
Year 4 PV (M)7,087.647,360.217,640.57
Year 5 PV (M)7,929.498,312.488,710.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)125,138.21131,182.43137,457.98
Equity Value (M)155,544.04162,557.62169,829.26
Shares Outstanding (M)587.84587.84587.84
Fair Value$264.60$276.53$288.91
Upside / Downside7.15%11.98%16.99%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 111 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
81299.HKAia-r0.60%$0.4443.34%
BNLI.JKPT Bank Permata Tbk0.60%$30.0029.63%
FFH.TOFairfax Financial Holdings Limited0.60%$15.517.53%
LFLO.JKPT Imago Mulia Persada Tbk0.60%$4.0028.31%
PATELSAI.BOPatels Airtemp (India) Limited0.60%$1.506.97%
RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.0.60%$1.634.46%
000532.SZZhuhai Huajin Capital Co., Ltd.0.59%$0.1014.74%
002827.SZTibet GaoZheng Explosive Co., Ltd.0.59%$0.2237.58%
0780.HKTongcheng Travel Holdings Limited0.59%$0.1412.70%
2440.TGurunavi, Inc.0.59%$0.9658.64%
300167.SZShenzhen Division Co.,Ltd.0.59%$0.0377.39%
300241.SZShenzhen Refond Optoelectronics Co.,Ltd.0.59%$0.0359.54%
300927.SZNantong JiangTian Chemical Co., Ltd.0.59%$0.147.30%
600428.SSCOSCO SHIPPING Specialized Carriers Co.,Ltd.0.59%$0.046.88%
600629.SSArcplus Group PLC0.59%$0.1341.63%
688118.SSPrimeton Information Technologies, Inc.0.59%$0.1544.13%
7936.TASICS Corporation0.59%$22.0418.54%
9593.SRPan Gulf Marketing Co.0.59%$0.112.85%
000603.SZShengda Resources Co.,Ltd.0.58%$0.1823.98%
001239.SZXiangtan Yongda Mach Mnfg Co0.58%$0.0921.29%
002300.SZFujian Nanping Sun Cable Co., Ltd.0.58%$0.0547.47%
002492.SZZhuhai Winbase International Chemical Tank Terminal Co.,Ltd0.58%$0.0533.06%
002838.SZShandong Dawn Polymer Co.,Ltd.0.58%$0.1437.89%
301535.SZZhejiang Huayuan Auto Technology Co Ltd0.58%$0.1342.90%
600210.SSShanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group Co., Ltd.0.58%$0.045.20%
600218.SSAnhui Quanchai Engine Co., Ltd.0.58%$0.0628.92%
600628.SSShanghai New World Co., Ltd0.58%$0.0542.45%
601869.SSYangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited Company0.58%$0.6888.82%
601900.SSSouthern Publishing and Media Co.,Ltd.0.58%$0.086.09%
603093.SSNanhua Futures Co., Ltd.0.58%$0.1115.08%
6692.TWOAcmepoint Energy Services Co.,LTD0.58%$0.177.39%
8440.TWOE&E Recycling,Inc.0.58%$0.1481.09%
GSMF.JKPT Equity Development Investment Tbk0.58%$0.6523.23%
HUB.AXHUB24 Limited0.58%$0.5636.27%
MAPA.JKPT Map Aktif Adiperkasa Tbk0.58%$4.008.06%
SELEC.ISSelçuk Ecza Deposu Ticaret ve Sanayi A.S.0.58%$0.4632.67%
000400.KSLotte Non - Life Insurance Co., Ltd.0.57%$9.968.06%
003031.SZHebei Sinopack Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd.0.57%$0.4230.89%
300133.SZZhejiang Huace Film & TV Co., Ltd.0.57%$0.0535.19%
300687.SZGuangzhou Sie Consulting Co., Ltd.0.57%$0.1372.96%
300879.SZNingbo Daye Garden Machinery Co.,Ltd.0.57%$0.1728.45%
301188.SZShandong Linuo Technical Glass Co.,Ltd.0.57%$0.1050.00%
3141.TWelcia Holdings Co., Ltd.0.57%$18.1620.70%
3197.TSkylark Holdings Co., Ltd.0.57%$19.0725.19%
4577.TDaito Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.0.57%$7.7411.68%
600846.SSShanghai Tongji Science&Technology Industrial Co.,Ltd0.57%$0.0817.65%
601021.SSSpring Airlines Co., Ltd.0.57%$0.3416.50%
601208.SSSichuan Em Technology Co., Ltd.0.57%$0.1568.28%
603090.SSWuxi Hongsheng Heat Exchanger Manufacturing Co., Ltd.0.57%$0.3147.68%
PRINC.BKPrincipal Capital Public Company Limited0.57%$0.0113.01%