Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RailroadsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$110.84 - $170.71$138.69
Multi-Stage$155.12 - $169.85$162.35
Blended Fair Value$150.52
Current Price$236.37
Upside-36.32%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.34%7.01%5.365.295.274.674.384.333.833.313.133.91
YoY Growth--1.26%0.44%12.82%6.63%1.08%13.01%15.99%5.48%-19.84%43.63%
Dividend Yield--2.27%2.17%2.62%1.71%1.99%3.07%2.24%2.46%2.96%4.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,052.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,228.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,824.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,410.40881.50528.90
Cash Retained (M)3,824.003,824.003,824.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,410.40-881.50-528.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,413.602,942.503,295.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)599.63599.63599.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.034.915.50
LTM Dividend per Share5.385.385.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.034.915.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.4110.2910.88
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.56%1.56%2.56%
Fair Value$110.84$138.69$170.71
Upside / Downside-53.11%-41.33%-27.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,052.007,162.167,274.047,387.677,503.077,620.287,848.89
Payout Ratio45.77%54.62%63.46%72.31%81.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,228.003,911.934,616.445,342.006,089.116,858.257,260.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.56%1.56%2.56%
Year 1 PV (M)3,550.403,585.703,621.01
Year 2 PV (M)3,802.583,878.593,955.34
Year 3 PV (M)3,993.574,113.904,236.62
Year 4 PV (M)4,131.404,298.204,470.00
Year 5 PV (M)4,223.214,437.414,660.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)73,314.8577,033.3280,901.17
Equity Value (M)93,016.0197,347.12101,844.35
Shares Outstanding (M)599.63599.63599.63
Fair Value$155.12$162.35$169.85
Upside / Downside-34.37%-31.32%-28.14%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 11 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
3719.KLPanasonic Manufacturing Malaysia Berhad8.56%$0.6385.80%
GNG.AXGR Engineering Services Limited8.56%$0.3899.06%
078930.KSGS Holdings Corp.8.55%$4,726.0078.57%
2388.HKBOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Limited8.55%$3.4447.81%
CRTO.PACaisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel de La Touraine et du Poitou Société Coopérative8.54%$9.4831.11%
MARK.JKPT Mark Dynamics Indonesia Tbk8.54%$70.0098.69%
TWEKA.ASTKH Group N.V.8.54%$3.1870.93%
0DTI.LBonheur ASA8.53%$23.2642.29%
1502.HKFinancial Street Property Co., Limited8.52%$0.1758.63%
FOYRK.ATFourlis Holdings S.A.8.52%$0.3765.80%
2491.TValueCommerce Co., Ltd.8.51%$56.6140.75%
6355.TSumitomo Precision Products Co., Ltd.8.51%$310.088.45%
DREIT.BKDusit Thani Freehold and Leasehold Real Estate Investment Trust8.50%$0.4298.66%
6862.HKHaidilao International Holding Ltd.8.49%$1.2276.09%
015890.KSTaekyung Industry.Co., Ltd.8.48%$416.7845.41%
3983.HKChina BlueChemical Ltd.8.48%$0.2140.13%
3292.TAEON REIT Investment Corporation8.45%$11,596.4988.85%
CIEL3.SACielo S.A.8.44%$0.4973.05%
ASGR.JKPT Astra Graphia Tbk8.43%$99.0056.73%
JWW.WAJWW Invest S.A.8.43%$0.2543.64%
3488.TCENTRAL REIT Investment Corporation8.42%$9,789.7772.08%
GUNKUL-R.BKGunkul Engineering Public Company Limited8.42%$0.1678.57%
1333.HKBreton Technology Co. Ltd.8.41%$2.3574.43%
DRM.TODream Unlimited Corp.8.41%$1.6484.81%
ALEXA.PAExacompta Clairefontaine S.A.8.40%$14.2037.48%
RANI3.SAIrani Papel e Embalagem S.A.8.40%$0.7343.32%
SPALI-R.BKSupalai Public Company Limited8.39%$1.4357.89%
5141.KLDayang Enterprise Holdings Bhd8.38%$0.1487.12%
600020.SSHenan Zhongyuan Expressway Company Limited8.37%$0.3678.65%
MASQ.AEMashreqbank PSC8.37%$21.4252.51%
PROX.BRProximus PLC8.37%$0.6033.92%
0R9T.LEquasens S.A.8.36%$3.7571.00%
6212.TWOLi Ming Development Construction Co., Ltd.8.34%$3.4547.85%
SNNP.BKSrinanaporn Marketing Public Company Limited8.33%$0.6192.23%
VLK.ASVan Lanschot Kempen N.V.8.32%$4.4268.64%
600894.SSGuangzhou Guangri Stock Co.,Ltd.8.31%$0.7798.07%
ORC-B.VOrca Energy Group Inc.8.31%$0.2935.79%
ADMF.JKPT Adira Dinamika Multi Finance Tbk8.30%$703.1157.11%
0QPJ.LCembra Money Bank AG8.29%$8.2371.08%
QDT.PAQuadient S.A.8.29%$1.2035.65%
VPK.ASKoninklijke Vopak N.V.8.29%$3.1639.83%
DP4B.DEA.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S8.27%$165.1637.01%
ECP.AXECP Emerging Growth Limited8.27%$0.0924.35%
PHOL.BKPhol Dhanya Public Company Limited8.27%$0.2371.53%
ASDM.JKPT Asuransi Dayin Mitra Tbk8.26%$50.0060.31%
000320.KSNOROO Holdings Co., Ltd.8.25%$1,700.3753.43%
IMCD.ASIMCD N.V.8.25%$6.4669.83%
NELY.JKPT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk8.25%$38.3052.05%
WGB.AXWAM Global Limited8.25%$0.2014.48%
HM1.AXHearts and Minds Investments Limited8.24%$0.2643.45%