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Qatar Industrial Manufacturing Company Q.P.S.C. (QIMD.QA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.75 - $55.29$51.81
Multi-Stage$8.57 - $9.38$8.96
Blended Fair Value$30.39
Current Price$2.49
Upside1,120.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.26%28.58%0.130.130.120.100.150.250.330.380.310.31
YoY Growth--0.00%8.33%20.00%-33.33%-40.00%-25.15%-13.06%23.72%0.68%2,831.20%
Dividend Yield--5.20%4.84%4.53%3.23%5.25%10.55%8.50%9.86%7.11%8.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)132.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)64.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)67.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26.4416.539.92
Cash Retained (M)67.4467.4467.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-26.44-16.53-9.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)41.0050.9157.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)474.94474.94474.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.35%6.35%7.35%
Fair Value$23.75$51.81$55.29
Upside / Downside853.90%1,980.91%2,120.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)132.22140.62149.56159.06169.17179.92185.32
Payout Ratio48.99%57.19%65.40%73.60%81.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)64.7880.4397.81117.07138.38161.93171.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.35%6.35%7.35%
Year 1 PV (M)74.9275.6376.34
Year 2 PV (M)84.8786.4988.12
Year 3 PV (M)94.6297.34100.12
Year 4 PV (M)104.19108.20112.33
Year 5 PV (M)113.57119.07124.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,596.673,770.633,951.27
Equity Value (M)4,068.854,257.374,452.95
Shares Outstanding (M)474.94474.94474.94
Fair Value$8.57$8.96$9.38
Upside / Downside244.06%260.00%276.54%

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