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PT Indomobil Sukses Internasional Tbk (IMAS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,351.90 - $20,405.61$15,469.33
Multi-Stage$2,585.00 - $2,824.90$2,702.77
Blended Fair Value$9,086.05
Current Price$1,265.00
Upside618.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS37.16%11.46%45.7741.0338.2214.6910.719.4319.8822.6914.1110.86
YoY Growth--11.54%7.36%160.11%37.19%13.62%-52.58%-12.36%60.72%29.92%-29.76%
Dividend Yield--5.58%2.85%3.28%1.90%0.99%2.36%0.75%1.87%1.24%0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)409,835.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)253,358.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)156,477.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81,967.0051,229.3830,737.63
Cash Retained (M)156,477.00156,477.00156,477.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-81,967.00-51,229.38-30,737.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)74,510.00105,247.63125,739.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,994.293,994.293,994.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share18.6526.3531.48
LTM Dividend per Share63.4363.4363.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share18.6526.3531.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend82.0889.7894.91
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,351.90$15,469.33$20,405.61
Upside / Downside323.07%1,122.87%1,513.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)409,835.00436,474.28464,845.10495,060.03527,238.94561,509.47578,354.75
Payout Ratio61.82%67.46%73.09%78.73%84.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)253,358.00294,426.39339,763.22389,749.90444,799.34505,358.52534,978.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)272,280.62274,861.48277,442.34
Year 2 PV (M)290,573.76296,108.37301,695.20
Year 3 PV (M)308,252.10317,100.91326,117.46
Year 4 PV (M)325,330.05337,841.32350,710.04
Year 5 PV (M)341,821.71358,331.82375,473.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,786,980.789,211,395.249,652,053.03
Equity Value (M)10,325,239.0110,795,639.1411,283,491.89
Shares Outstanding (M)3,994.293,994.293,994.29
Fair Value$2,585.00$2,702.77$2,824.90
Upside / Downside104.35%113.66%123.31%

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