Definitive Analysis
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Haemato AG (HAEK.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.99 - $18.66$15.76
Multi-Stage$35.70 - $39.31$37.47
Blended Fair Value$26.61
Current Price$23.00
Upside15.71%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS-2.70%24.08%1.100.530.000.441.271.271.021.201.200.65
YoY Growth--108.32%0.00%-100.00%-65.35%0.00%24.39%-14.97%0.01%82.97%412.34%
Dividend Yield--6.73%2.21%0.00%1.48%2.68%2.48%1.58%2.44%2.85%1.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.991.250.75
Cash Retained (M)1.461.461.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.99-1.25-0.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.540.210.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.215.215.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.100.040.14
LTM Dividend per Share1.631.631.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.100.040.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.531.671.77
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-4.70%-3.70%-2.70%
Fair Value$12.99$15.76$18.66
Upside / Downside-43.52%-31.47%-18.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.979.609.258.908.578.268.50
Payout Ratio85.37%86.29%87.22%88.15%89.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.518.288.067.857.647.437.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-4.70%-3.70%-2.70%
Year 1 PV (M)7.707.787.86
Year 2 PV (M)6.967.117.25
Year 3 PV (M)6.296.496.70
Year 4 PV (M)5.695.936.18
Year 5 PV (M)5.145.425.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)154.23162.49171.11
Equity Value (M)186.00195.21204.80
Shares Outstanding (M)5.215.215.21
Fair Value$35.70$37.47$39.31
Upside / Downside55.21%62.90%70.89%

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