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Staude Capital Global Value Fund Limited (GVF.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - GlobalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.33 - $50.35$22.09
Multi-Stage$5.69 - $6.22$5.95
Blended Fair Value$14.02
Current Price$1.37
Upside923.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.41%0.00%0.070.070.060.060.050.050.050.040.040.03
YoY Growth--9.52%7.05%7.88%18.57%-0.15%-4.30%17.43%20.66%37.36%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.27%5.36%5.45%5.19%4.26%5.25%5.23%4.01%3.07%2.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.865.543.32
Cash Retained (M)20.1120.1120.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.86-5.54-3.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.2514.5716.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)174.93174.93174.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.23
WACC / Discount Rate7.57%7.57%7.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10.33$22.09$50.35
Upside / Downside654.17%1,512.29%3,575.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44.2947.1750.2353.5056.9860.6862.50
Payout Ratio54.60%61.68%68.76%75.84%82.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.1829.0934.5440.5747.2454.6157.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.57%7.57%7.57%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)26.7927.0527.30
Year 2 PV (M)29.2929.8530.42
Year 3 PV (M)31.6932.6033.53
Year 4 PV (M)33.9835.2936.63
Year 5 PV (M)36.1737.9239.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)838.26878.74920.78
Equity Value (M)996.181,041.451,088.39
Shares Outstanding (M)174.93174.93174.93
Fair Value$5.69$5.95$6.22
Upside / Downside315.67%334.56%354.14%

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