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Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.83 - $48.34$39.58
Multi-Stage$47.01 - $51.43$49.17
Blended Fair Value$44.38
Current Price$79.94
Upside-44.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.08%2.15%2.192.142.072.051.841.971.951.871.841.83
YoY Growth--2.29%3.43%0.71%11.78%-6.94%1.45%4.05%1.39%1.00%3.25%
Dividend Yield--2.33%2.40%2.75%2.71%2.33%2.97%2.85%2.61%2.52%2.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,907.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,814.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,093.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)581.40363.38218.03
Cash Retained (M)1,093.001,093.001,093.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-581.40-363.38-218.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)511.60729.63874.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)817.92817.92817.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.630.891.07
LTM Dividend per Share2.222.222.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.630.891.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.843.113.29
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.15%1.15%2.15%
Fair Value$31.83$39.58$48.34
Upside / Downside-60.18%-50.48%-39.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,907.002,940.472,974.333,008.573,043.213,078.253,170.60
Payout Ratio62.40%67.92%73.44%78.96%84.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,814.001,997.192,184.362,375.582,570.912,770.432,932.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.15%1.15%2.15%
Year 1 PV (M)1,812.541,830.641,848.74
Year 2 PV (M)1,799.131,835.231,871.70
Year 3 PV (M)1,775.721,829.451,884.24
Year 4 PV (M)1,744.061,814.761,887.60
Year 5 PV (M)1,705.641,792.511,882.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,609.9131,117.9932,686.89
Equity Value (M)38,447.0140,220.5942,062.06
Shares Outstanding (M)817.92817.92817.92
Fair Value$47.01$49.17$51.43
Upside / Downside-41.20%-38.49%-35.67%

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