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Beard Energy Transition Acquisition Corp. (BRD)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.63 - $2.35$1.98
Multi-Stage$2.90 - $3.17$3.03
Blended Fair Value$2.51
Current Price$10.75
Upside-76.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.160.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.940.590.35
Cash Retained (M)0.210.210.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.94-0.59-0.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.73-0.38-0.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.3420.3420.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.04-0.02-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.04-0.02-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.63$1.98$2.35
Upside / Downside-84.82%-81.56%-78.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.694.644.604.554.514.464.60
Payout Ratio95.51%94.41%93.31%92.20%91.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.484.384.294.204.114.024.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3.984.024.06
Year 2 PV (M)3.533.613.68
Year 3 PV (M)3.143.233.33
Year 4 PV (M)2.782.903.02
Year 5 PV (M)2.472.602.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)43.0345.2747.60
Equity Value (M)58.9461.6364.43
Shares Outstanding (M)20.3420.3420.34
Fair Value$2.90$3.03$3.17
Upside / Downside-73.04%-71.81%-70.53%

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