Definitive Analysis
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BOE Varitronix Limited (0710.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$76.95 - $212.43$199.08
Multi-Stage$29.82 - $32.63$31.20
Blended Fair Value$115.14
Current Price$6.60
Upside1,644.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS82.70%-0.89%0.190.230.140.050.240.010.010.020.700.19
YoY Growth---17.30%65.59%201.04%-81.01%2,499.92%0.00%-59.99%-96.68%272.59%-9.23%
Dividend Yield--2.80%3.38%0.93%0.46%8.48%0.37%0.41%0.46%21.60%3.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)844.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)330.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)513.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)168.90105.5663.34
Cash Retained (M)513.88513.88513.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-168.90-105.56-63.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)344.98408.32450.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)790.63790.63790.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.520.57
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.520.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.850.930.99
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$76.95$199.08$212.43
Upside / Downside1,065.83%2,916.30%3,118.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)844.51899.40957.861,020.121,086.431,157.051,191.76
Payout Ratio39.15%49.32%59.49%69.66%79.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)330.62443.58569.83710.62867.301,041.341,102.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)411.94415.84419.74
Year 2 PV (M)491.42500.78510.23
Year 3 PV (M)569.11585.45602.09
Year 4 PV (M)645.03669.84695.36
Year 5 PV (M)719.22753.96790.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,736.7021,738.2922,778.21
Equity Value (M)23,573.4224,664.1625,795.67
Shares Outstanding (M)790.63790.63790.63
Fair Value$29.82$31.20$32.63
Upside / Downside351.76%372.66%394.35%

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