Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Huishang Bank Corporation Limited (3698.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.40 - $78.38$53.77
Multi-Stage$47.87 - $52.51$50.15
Blended Fair Value$51.96
Current Price$3.52
Upside1,376.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.15%4.32%0.240.500.460.420.520.380.360.180.300.16
YoY Growth---52.58%7.39%10.89%-19.18%35.61%5.26%99.41%-39.56%85.34%4.90%
Dividend Yield--10.14%23.07%21.09%19.56%24.09%14.91%12.12%5.59%9.33%6.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30,855.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,886.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)21,968.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,171.023,856.882,314.13
Cash Retained (M)21,968.8521,968.8521,968.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,171.02-3,856.88-2,314.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)15,797.8318,111.9619,654.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13,889.8013,889.8013,889.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.141.301.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.640.640.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.141.301.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.781.942.05
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate2.32%3.32%4.32%
Fair Value$38.40$53.77$78.38
Upside / Downside991.03%1,427.61%2,126.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30,855.0831,880.0432,939.0534,033.2435,163.7736,331.8637,421.82
Payout Ratio28.80%41.04%53.28%65.52%77.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,886.2313,083.5417,549.9022,298.5627,343.3432,698.6834,615.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.06%7.06%7.06%
Growth Rate2.32%3.32%4.32%
Year 1 PV (M)12,102.8512,221.1312,339.41
Year 2 PV (M)15,017.5515,312.5215,610.36
Year 3 PV (M)17,650.7718,173.3518,706.14
Year 4 PV (M)20,021.6820,815.9221,633.57
Year 5 PV (M)22,148.3523,252.0024,399.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)577,965.06606,765.02636,701.78
Equity Value (M)664,906.26696,539.94729,390.48
Shares Outstanding (M)13,889.8013,889.8013,889.80
Fair Value$47.87$50.15$52.51
Upside / Downside1,259.95%1,324.65%1,391.84%

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