Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Limited (1052.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Infrastructure OperationsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.35 - $34.10$22.15
Multi-Stage$31.66 - $34.80$33.20
Blended Fair Value$27.68
Current Price$3.38
Upside718.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.34%1.66%0.250.230.440.220.190.370.320.290.250.23
YoY Growth--10.09%-48.27%96.86%19.57%-49.05%16.81%9.36%17.77%6.36%7.87%
Dividend Yield--6.96%5.94%11.80%5.98%4.23%5.96%6.06%6.05%5.64%5.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,355.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)848.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)507.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)271.15169.47101.68
Cash Retained (M)507.00507.00507.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-271.15-169.47-101.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)235.85337.53405.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,673.161,673.161,673.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.200.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.200.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.650.710.75
WACC / Discount Rate5.18%5.18%5.18%
Growth Rate0.91%1.91%2.91%
Fair Value$15.35$22.15$34.10
Upside / Downside354.09%555.34%908.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,355.751,381.711,408.161,435.121,462.601,490.601,535.32
Payout Ratio62.60%68.08%73.56%79.04%84.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)848.75940.711,035.881,134.341,236.201,341.541,420.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.18%5.18%5.18%
Growth Rate0.91%1.91%2.91%
Year 1 PV (M)885.63894.41903.18
Year 2 PV (M)918.13936.41954.88
Year 3 PV (M)946.54974.961,003.94
Year 4 PV (M)971.141,010.211,050.44
Year 5 PV (M)992.191,042.331,094.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)48,251.6250,690.1953,226.36
Equity Value (M)52,965.2455,548.5058,233.29
Shares Outstanding (M)1,673.161,673.161,673.16
Fair Value$31.66$33.20$34.80
Upside / Downside836.56%882.24%929.71%

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