Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Westpac Banking Corporation (WBC.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$618.52 - $728.72$682.92
Multi-Stage$169.46 - $185.55$177.36
Blended Fair Value$430.14
Current Price$38.97
Upside1,003.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS15.68%1.85%1.371.491.191.140.750.661.311.521.281.42
YoY Growth---7.73%25.49%3.85%52.39%13.03%-49.41%-13.73%19.22%-10.42%24.47%
Dividend Yield--3.53%4.70%5.61%5.54%2.89%3.94%4.43%5.53%4.00%4.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,898.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,346.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,551.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,779.601,737.251,042.35
Cash Retained (M)3,551.833,551.833,551.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,779.60-1,737.25-1,042.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)772.231,814.582,509.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,792.913,792.913,792.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.480.66
LTM Dividend per Share2.732.732.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.480.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.933.213.39
WACC / Discount Rate5.29%5.29%5.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$618.52$682.92$728.72
Upside / Downside1,487.16%1,652.41%1,769.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,898.0014,801.3715,763.4616,788.0817,879.3119,041.4619,612.71
Payout Ratio74.44%77.55%80.67%83.78%86.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,346.1711,479.1812,715.7814,064.6315,535.1017,137.3218,141.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.29%5.29%5.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)10,800.1410,902.5111,004.88
Year 2 PV (M)11,255.8811,470.2711,686.69
Year 3 PV (M)11,713.4012,049.6512,392.28
Year 4 PV (M)12,172.7112,640.8413,122.34
Year 5 PV (M)12,633.8113,244.0313,877.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)584,189.68612,406.26641,702.75
Equity Value (M)642,765.62672,713.56703,786.54
Shares Outstanding (M)3,792.913,792.913,792.91
Fair Value$169.46$177.36$185.55
Upside / Downside334.86%355.12%376.14%

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