Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Thai Mitsuwa Public Company Limited (TMW.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$253.13 - $543.85$361.00
Multi-Stage$186.24 - $203.30$194.61
Blended Fair Value$277.81
Current Price$52.25
Upside431.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.19%13.21%4.151.700.900.461.782.802.551.321.051.00
YoY Growth--144.12%88.89%95.65%-74.16%-36.43%9.80%93.18%25.71%5.00%-16.67%
Dividend Yield--8.35%2.78%2.37%1.33%4.78%7.47%3.97%2.04%2.52%3.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)529.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)144.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)385.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)105.9266.2039.72
Cash Retained (M)385.57385.57385.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-105.92-66.20-39.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)279.65319.37345.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.8839.8839.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.018.018.67
LTM Dividend per Share3.613.613.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.018.018.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.6211.6212.29
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$253.13$361.00$543.85
Upside / Downside384.45%590.92%940.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)529.61564.04600.70639.74681.33725.61747.38
Payout Ratio27.20%39.76%52.32%64.88%77.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)144.04224.25314.28415.06527.62653.05691.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)202.08203.99205.91
Year 2 PV (M)255.21260.07264.98
Year 3 PV (M)303.73312.45321.33
Year 4 PV (M)347.93361.31375.07
Year 5 PV (M)388.07406.82426.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,929.556,215.956,513.31
Equity Value (M)7,426.577,760.598,106.88
Shares Outstanding (M)39.8839.8839.88
Fair Value$186.24$194.61$203.30
Upside / Downside256.44%272.47%289.09%

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