Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

TIM S.A. (TIMS3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$209.58 - $331.19$310.38
Multi-Stage$55.58 - $60.77$58.12
Blended Fair Value$184.25
Current Price$23.50
Upside684.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.71%12.52%1.120.900.500.430.480.320.240.140.190.15
YoY Growth--25.07%81.36%14.98%-9.55%49.72%30.92%76.83%-27.73%27.71%-56.88%
Dividend Yield--6.25%5.05%3.94%3.13%3.76%2.56%2.06%0.97%1.88%1.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,028.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,311.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)717.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)805.79503.62302.17
Cash Retained (M)717.64717.64717.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-805.79-503.62-302.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)-88.14214.03415.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,419.282,419.282,419.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.040.090.17
LTM Dividend per Share1.371.371.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.040.090.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.461.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.17%6.17%6.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$209.58$310.38$331.19
Upside / Downside791.81%1,220.76%1,309.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,028.934,290.814,569.714,866.745,183.085,519.985,685.58
Payout Ratio82.19%83.75%85.31%86.88%88.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,311.283,593.563,898.544,227.984,583.794,967.985,259.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.17%6.17%6.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,352.923,384.703,416.48
Year 2 PV (M)3,393.903,458.543,523.79
Year 3 PV (M)3,434.223,532.813,633.26
Year 4 PV (M)3,473.903,607.503,744.91
Year 5 PV (M)3,512.943,682.623,858.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)117,289.12122,954.22128,836.15
Equity Value (M)134,457.00140,620.39147,013.39
Shares Outstanding (M)2,419.282,419.282,419.28
Fair Value$55.58$58.12$60.77
Upside / Downside136.50%147.34%158.58%

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