Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

T. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Growth Fund (RPTIX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$77.43 - $123.13$98.22
Multi-Stage$97.70 - $106.74$102.13
Blended Fair Value$100.18
Current Price$108.24
Upside-7.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%10.95%4.364.316.623.292.850.002.192.104.121.80
YoY Growth--1.29%-34.93%101.22%15.25%0.00%-100.00%4.12%-48.93%129.17%16.49%
Dividend Yield--4.03%4.52%6.35%2.82%3.90%0.00%2.48%2.58%5.64%2.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,891.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,126.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)765.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)378.26236.41141.85
Cash Retained (M)765.30765.30765.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-378.26-236.41-141.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)387.04528.89623.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)257.13257.13257.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.512.062.42
LTM Dividend per Share4.384.384.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.512.062.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.886.446.80
WACC / Discount Rate9.49%9.49%9.49%
Growth Rate1.76%2.76%3.76%
Fair Value$77.43$98.22$123.13
Upside / Downside-28.47%-9.26%13.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,891.301,943.441,997.012,052.072,108.642,166.772,231.77
Payout Ratio59.54%65.63%71.72%77.81%83.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,126.001,275.451,432.291,596.801,769.301,950.092,064.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.49%9.49%9.49%
Growth Rate1.76%2.76%3.76%
Year 1 PV (M)1,153.571,164.901,176.24
Year 2 PV (M)1,171.621,194.761,218.13
Year 3 PV (M)1,181.371,216.541,252.41
Year 4 PV (M)1,183.901,231.131,279.76
Year 5 PV (M)1,180.181,239.321,300.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,250.4220,215.1021,218.07
Equity Value (M)25,121.0626,261.7627,445.41
Shares Outstanding (M)257.13257.13257.13
Fair Value$97.70$102.13$106.74
Upside / Downside-9.74%-5.64%-1.39%

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