Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Pitney Bowes Inc. NT 43 (PBI-PB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.65 - $2.20$1.93
Multi-Stage$4.82 - $5.33$5.07
Blended Fair Value$3.50
Current Price$11.41
Upside-69.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.33%-13.40%0.200.190.190.190.190.190.770.770.770.83
YoY Growth--2.10%1.43%-0.24%1.48%-3.03%-74.83%0.72%-0.80%-6.33%-0.99%
Dividend Yield--2.19%4.58%4.91%3.68%2.29%9.54%10.96%7.05%5.90%3.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)74.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.009.375.62
Cash Retained (M)28.9728.9728.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.00-9.37-5.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.9719.5923.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)181.77181.77181.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.110.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.110.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate7.08%7.08%7.08%
Growth Rate-10.76%-9.76%-8.76%
Fair Value$1.65$1.93$2.20
Upside / Downside-85.53%-83.05%-80.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)74.9867.6661.0655.1049.7244.8746.22
Payout Ratio61.37%67.09%72.82%78.55%84.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.0245.4044.4643.2841.9040.3842.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.08%7.08%7.08%
Growth Rate-10.76%-9.76%-8.76%
Year 1 PV (M)41.9342.4042.87
Year 2 PV (M)37.9238.7839.64
Year 3 PV (M)34.0935.2536.44
Year 4 PV (M)30.4831.8733.31
Year 5 PV (M)27.1328.6930.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)704.14744.49786.66
Equity Value (M)875.70921.48969.23
Shares Outstanding (M)181.77181.77181.77
Fair Value$4.82$5.07$5.33
Upside / Downside-57.78%-55.57%-53.27%

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