Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$207.96 - $397.07$372.12
Multi-Stage$61.48 - $67.34$64.36
Blended Fair Value$218.24
Current Price$40.00
Upside445.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.81%0.00%0.470.390.390.392.210.270.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--20.11%0.85%0.24%-82.38%716.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.18%0.99%2.44%4.26%15.52%1.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.295.813.48
Cash Retained (M)35.4435.4435.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.29-5.81-3.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)26.1529.6331.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.2623.2623.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.121.271.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.121.271.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.601.751.85
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$207.96$372.12$397.07
Upside / Downside419.90%830.29%892.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46.4449.4652.6856.1059.7563.6365.54
Payout Ratio23.70%36.96%50.22%63.48%76.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.0118.2826.4635.6145.8557.2760.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)17.0417.2017.36
Year 2 PV (M)22.9723.4123.85
Year 3 PV (M)28.8129.6430.48
Year 4 PV (M)34.5735.9037.26
Year 5 PV (M)40.2342.1744.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,286.541,348.681,413.20
Equity Value (M)1,430.161,497.001,566.35
Shares Outstanding (M)23.2623.2623.26
Fair Value$61.48$64.36$67.34
Upside / Downside53.70%60.89%68.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 105 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
688006.SSZhejiang HangKe Technology Incorporated Company0.77%$0.2340.60%
688106.SSSuzhou Jinhong Gas Co.,Ltd.0.77%$0.1567.86%
688665.SSCubic Sensor and Instrument Co., Ltd0.77%$0.3823.98%
7187.TJ-Lease Co.,Ltd.0.77%$11.208.80%
9879.HKMigao Group Holdings Limited0.77%$0.069.90%
AERAerCap Holdings N.V.0.77%$1.125.14%
BKL.AXBlackmores Limited0.77%$0.7337.39%
BORRBorr Drilling Limited0.77%$0.0312.72%
NTHOL.ISNet Holding A.S.0.77%$0.386.82%
OSWOneSpaWorld Holdings Limited0.77%$0.1622.40%
PAP.ATPapoutsanis S.A.0.77%$0.0313.39%
002444.SZHangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co., Ltd0.76%$0.2612.20%
002821.SZAsymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co., Ltd.0.76%$0.7124.14%
300174.SZFujian Yuanli Active Carbon Co.,Ltd.0.76%$0.1217.32%
300739.SZSunshine Global Circuits Co.,Ltd.0.76%$0.1496.29%
5457.TWOSpeed Tech Corp.0.76%$0.3212.63%
600223.SSLushang Freda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Class A0.76%$0.0626.50%
600305.SSJiangsu Hengshun Vinegar-Industry Co.,Ltd0.76%$0.0644.11%
601689.SSNingbo Tuopu Group Co.,Ltd.0.76%$0.5937.35%
603276.SSJiangsu Hengxing New Material0.76%$0.1363.62%
603602.SSHangzhou Freely Communication Co., Ltd.0.76%$0.1187.04%
6037.TRakumachi,inc.0.76%$8.2614.70%
688518.SSShenzhen United Winners Laser Co., Ltd.0.76%$0.1935.43%
BIR-PA.TOBirchcliff Energy Ltd.0.76%$0.1970.83%
BNTBrookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd.0.76%$0.358.16%
GOTL-A.STRederiaktiebolaget Gotland (publ)0.76%$20.3159.62%
002700.KSShinil Electronics Co.,Ltd0.75%$9.9221.49%
019180.KSTHN Corporation0.75%$60.022.14%
1471.HKZhongmiao0.75%$0.1337.87%
2492.TInfomart Corporation0.75%$3.1644.10%
300176.SZGuangDong HongTeo Technology Co.,Ltd. Class A0.75%$0.0574.24%
300790.SZDongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co.,Ltd.0.75%$0.2235.26%
300971.SZXiangyang BOYA Precision Industrial Equipments Co., Ltd0.75%$0.1829.36%
329180.KSHd Hyundai Heavy Industries Co., Ltd.0.75%$3,761.2225.83%
375500.KSDL E&C Co.,Ltd.0.75%$300.9316.73%
603538.SSNingbo Menovo Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.0.75%$0.1434.15%
603698.SSChangzheng Engineering Co.,LTD0.75%$0.2979.72%
603979.SSJCHX Mining Management Co.,Ltd.0.75%$0.5716.95%
605128.SSShanghai Yanpu Metal Products Co.,Ltd0.75%$0.2837.61%
6693.HKChifeng Gold0.75%$0.2319.89%
7092.TFast Fitness Japan Incorporated0.75%$17.2313.99%
9072.TNIKKON Holdings Co.,Ltd.0.75%$25.5719.54%
9822.KLSAM Engineering & Equipment (M) Berhad0.75%$0.0322.52%
NZL.NZNew Zealand Rural Land Company Limited0.75%$0.013.51%
TOSK.JKTopindo Solusi Komunika Tbk.0.75%$0.4726.94%
WTON.JKPT Wijaya Karya Beton Tbk0.75%$0.7516.39%
000800.SZFAW Jiefang Group Co., Ltd0.74%$0.0539.16%
002101.SZGuangdong Hongtu Technology (holdings) Co.,Ltd.0.74%$0.0916.78%
002145.SZTinergy Chemical Co., Ltd.0.74%$0.0430.03%
002463.SZWus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co., Ltd.0.74%$0.5430.40%