Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Citigroup Inc. (C-PJ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,291.78 - $1,522.21$1,426.41
Multi-Stage$483.38 - $530.63$506.56
Blended Fair Value$966.48
Current Price$101.50
Upside852.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.93%23.44%2.732.742.632.732.812.862.642.001.200.66
YoY Growth---0.25%4.18%-3.75%-2.88%-1.74%8.51%32.21%66.03%82.52%97.95%
Dividend Yield--3.85%4.32%5.61%5.12%3.87%6.80%4.10%2.96%2.01%1.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,691.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,965.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,726.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,938.201,836.381,101.83
Cash Retained (M)10,726.0010,726.0010,726.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,938.20-1,836.38-1,101.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,787.808,889.639,624.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,901.581,901.581,901.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.104.675.06
LTM Dividend per Share2.092.092.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.104.675.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.186.767.15
WACC / Discount Rate4.60%4.60%4.60%
Growth Rate4.50%5.50%6.50%
Fair Value$1,291.78$1,426.41$1,522.21
Upside / Downside1,172.69%1,305.33%1,399.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,691.0015,499.5416,352.5817,252.5618,202.0819,203.8619,779.98
Payout Ratio26.99%39.59%52.19%64.80%77.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,965.006,136.498,535.0011,178.9214,088.0217,283.4718,296.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.60%4.60%4.60%
Growth Rate4.50%5.50%6.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,811.115,866.725,922.33
Year 2 PV (M)7,653.887,801.067,949.64
Year 3 PV (M)9,493.309,768.4410,048.85
Year 4 PV (M)11,329.3911,769.3012,221.90
Year 5 PV (M)13,162.1413,804.0514,470.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)871,741.39914,255.95958,413.30
Equity Value (M)919,191.21963,265.521,009,026.79
Shares Outstanding (M)1,901.581,901.581,901.58
Fair Value$483.38$506.56$530.63
Upside / Downside376.24%399.08%422.79%

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