Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Snap-on Incorporated (0L7G.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$794.95 - $3,786.90$1,736.85
Multi-Stage$436.44 - $477.15$456.42
Blended Fair Value$1,096.64
Current Price$341.91
Upside220.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.41%14.21%7.646.685.885.184.574.073.613.182.772.40
YoY Growth--14.29%13.57%13.52%13.36%12.33%12.81%13.34%14.85%15.32%18.87%
Dividend Yield--2.32%2.26%2.38%2.54%1.97%3.77%2.30%2.16%1.64%1.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,014.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)447.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)566.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)202.86126.7976.07
Cash Retained (M)566.50566.50566.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-202.86-126.79-76.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)363.64439.71490.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)53.2353.2353.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.838.269.21
LTM Dividend per Share8.418.418.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.838.269.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.2516.6717.63
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Fair Value$794.95$1,736.85$3,786.90
Upside / Downside132.50%407.99%1,007.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,014.301,079.361,148.591,222.261,300.661,384.081,425.60
Payout Ratio44.15%53.32%62.49%71.66%80.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)447.80575.50717.74875.871,051.321,245.671,318.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Year 1 PV (M)530.64535.67540.71
Year 2 PV (M)610.20621.83633.57
Year 3 PV (M)686.58706.30726.40
Year 4 PV (M)759.87789.11819.20
Year 5 PV (M)830.15870.28911.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,812.1620,769.8921,764.30
Equity Value (M)23,229.6024,293.0925,396.13
Shares Outstanding (M)53.2353.2353.23
Fair Value$436.44$456.42$477.15
Upside / Downside27.65%33.49%39.55%

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