Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

The Bank of East Asia, Limited (0023.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.27 - $39.95$32.69
Multi-Stage$55.08 - $60.60$57.79
Blended Fair Value$45.24
Current Price$12.10
Upside273.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.29%5.85%0.660.520.760.640.510.310.310.940.280.31
YoY Growth--27.09%-31.08%18.51%24.15%65.01%-1.08%-66.65%234.45%-8.69%-17.56%
Dividend Yield--6.71%5.48%7.99%5.69%3.10%1.79%1.26%2.78%0.95%1.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,902.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,453.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,449.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,580.40987.75592.65
Cash Retained (M)4,449.004,449.004,449.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,580.40-987.75-592.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,868.603,461.253,856.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,643.522,643.522,643.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.091.311.46
LTM Dividend per Share1.311.311.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.091.311.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.392.622.77
WACC / Discount Rate6.92%6.92%6.92%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$26.27$32.69$39.95
Upside / Downside117.10%170.16%230.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,902.007,822.987,744.757,667.307,590.637,514.727,740.17
Payout Ratio43.70%52.96%62.22%71.48%80.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,453.004,142.914,818.685,480.526,128.646,763.257,159.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.92%6.92%6.92%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3,835.593,874.733,913.87
Year 2 PV (M)4,130.304,215.024,300.60
Year 3 PV (M)4,349.124,483.624,620.86
Year 4 PV (M)4,502.674,689.284,881.64
Year 5 PV (M)4,600.324,839.875,089.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)124,190.64130,657.54137,391.06
Equity Value (M)145,608.63152,760.05160,197.32
Shares Outstanding (M)2,643.522,643.522,643.52
Fair Value$55.08$57.79$60.60
Upside / Downside355.22%377.58%400.83%

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