Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

PT Selamat Sempurna Tbk (SMSM.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32,447.92 - $38,229.15$35,826.31
Multi-Stage$27,460.91 - $30,123.86$28,767.58
Blended Fair Value$32,296.94
Current Price$1,910.00
Upside1,590.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.41%13.29%135.00105.0084.9470.0059.0058.0052.0050.0048.7531.25
YoY Growth--28.57%23.61%21.35%18.64%1.72%11.54%4.00%2.56%56.00%-19.35%
Dividend Yield--7.94%5.36%5.50%4.93%4.40%5.02%3.21%3.72%4.49%2.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,106,973.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,007,768.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)99,205.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)221,394.60138,371.6383,022.98
Cash Retained (M)99,205.0099,205.0099,205.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-221,394.60-138,371.63-83,022.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)-122,189.60-39,166.6316,182.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,758.685,758.685,758.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share-21.22-6.802.81
LTM Dividend per Share175.00175.00175.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-21.22-6.802.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend153.78168.20177.81
WACC / Discount Rate-1.92%-1.92%-1.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$32,447.92$35,826.31$38,229.15
Upside / Downside1,598.84%1,775.72%1,901.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,106,973.001,178,926.251,255,556.451,337,167.621,424,083.521,516,648.941,562,148.41
Payout Ratio91.04%90.83%90.62%90.42%90.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,007,768.001,070,825.061,137,821.721,209,003.711,284,632.061,364,984.051,444,987.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.92%-1.92%-1.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,081,546.631,091,798.261,102,049.89
Year 2 PV (M)1,160,720.531,182,828.991,205,146.03
Year 3 PV (M)1,245,683.761,281,442.861,317,879.84
Year 4 PV (M)1,336,859.131,388,270.961,441,151.59
Year 5 PV (M)1,434,700.311,503,996.871,575,945.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)151,878,969.02159,214,780.01166,831,349.76
Equity Value (M)158,138,479.38165,663,117.96173,473,522.69
Shares Outstanding (M)5,758.685,758.685,758.68
Fair Value$27,460.91$28,767.58$30,123.86
Upside / Downside1,337.74%1,406.16%1,477.17%

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