Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

PT Pelayaran Nelly Dwi Putri Tbk (NELY.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,699.77 - $4,425.15$2,584.07
Multi-Stage$1,208.01 - $1,317.69$1,261.87
Blended Fair Value$1,922.97
Current Price$380.00
Upside406.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS35.78%22.32%30.0035.0015.0025.003.506.506.003.004.003.00
YoY Growth---14.29%133.33%-40.00%614.29%-46.15%8.33%100.00%-25.00%33.33%-25.00%
Dividend Yield--7.61%7.00%4.90%8.06%2.45%4.22%3.85%2.16%4.60%2.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)172,904.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)90,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)82,904.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34,580.8721,613.0512,967.83
Cash Retained (M)82,904.3782,904.3782,904.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-34,580.87-21,613.05-12,967.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)48,323.5061,291.3269,936.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,350.002,350.002,350.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share20.5626.0829.76
LTM Dividend per Share38.3038.3038.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share20.5626.0829.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend58.8664.3868.06
WACC / Discount Rate9.15%9.15%9.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,699.77$2,584.07$4,425.15
Upside / Downside347.31%580.02%1,064.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)172,904.37184,143.16196,112.46208,859.77222,435.66236,893.97244,000.79
Payout Ratio52.05%59.64%67.23%74.82%82.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)90,000.00109,825.77131,848.64156,270.46183,310.07213,204.58225,700.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.15%9.15%9.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)99,671.29100,616.05101,560.80
Year 2 PV (M)108,594.38110,662.79112,750.73
Year 3 PV (M)116,808.50120,161.65123,578.37
Year 4 PV (M)124,351.12129,133.32134,052.13
Year 5 PV (M)131,257.99137,597.80144,180.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,258,144.652,367,213.882,480,457.44
Equity Value (M)2,838,827.932,965,385.493,096,579.72
Shares Outstanding (M)2,350.002,350.002,350.00
Fair Value$1,208.01$1,261.87$1,317.69
Upside / Downside217.90%232.07%246.76%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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