Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones Habitat S.A. (HABITAT.SN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,100.32 - $1,583.04$1,335.93
Multi-Stage$1,753.95 - $1,918.00$1,834.43
Blended Fair Value$1,585.18
Current Price$1,090.50
Upside45.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS13.05%0.00%119.97107.97119.97109.9730.5364.980.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--11.11%-10.00%9.09%260.24%-53.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.91%12.26%22.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)154,999.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)110,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)44,999.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30,999.9819,374.9911,624.99
Cash Retained (M)44,999.9044,999.9044,999.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-30,999.98-19,374.99-11,624.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)13,999.9225,624.9133,374.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,000.261,000.261,000.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share14.0025.6233.37
LTM Dividend per Share109.97109.97109.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share14.0025.6233.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend123.97135.59143.34
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate-1.40%-0.40%0.60%
Fair Value$1,100.32$1,335.93$1,583.04
Upside / Downside0.90%22.51%45.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)154,999.90154,383.92153,770.40153,159.31152,550.65151,944.41156,502.74
Payout Ratio70.97%74.77%78.58%82.39%86.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)110,000.00115,439.39120,833.81126,183.54131,488.83136,749.97144,765.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate-1.40%-0.40%0.60%
Year 1 PV (M)104,164.26105,220.67106,277.07
Year 2 PV (M)98,382.51100,388.17102,414.06
Year 3 PV (M)92,703.6595,552.8798,459.89
Year 4 PV (M)87,166.1290,756.3494,456.33
Year 5 PV (M)81,799.5386,032.4690,438.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,290,191.341,356,955.691,426,455.78
Equity Value (M)1,754,407.411,834,906.191,918,501.97
Shares Outstanding (M)1,000.261,000.261,000.26
Fair Value$1,753.95$1,834.43$1,918.00
Upside / Downside60.84%68.22%75.88%

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