Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KDX Realty Investment Corporation (8972.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,010,938.84 - $4,479,087.03$2,384,167.99
Multi-Stage$520,321.80 - $569,087.60$544,258.92
Blended Fair Value$1,464,213.45
Current Price$148,600.00
Upside885.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS20.40%17.51%7,522.473,225.753,063.463,366.483,069.062,973.542,632.442,387.822,171.492,086.40
YoY Growth--133.20%5.30%-9.00%9.69%3.21%12.96%10.24%9.96%4.08%39.22%
Dividend Yield--5.06%2.07%2.04%1.95%1.52%2.21%1.41%1.44%1.37%1.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)88,200.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30,123.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)58,077.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,640.1411,025.096,615.05
Cash Retained (M)58,077.6358,077.6358,077.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,640.14-11,025.09-6,615.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)40,437.4947,052.5451,462.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.923.923.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share10,325.7512,014.9113,141.01
LTM Dividend per Share7,691.957,691.957,691.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share10,325.7512,014.9113,141.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend18,017.7019,706.8620,832.96
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,010,938.84$2,384,167.99$4,479,087.03
Upside / Downside580.31%1,504.42%2,914.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)88,200.6893,933.73100,039.42106,541.98113,467.21120,842.58124,467.86
Payout Ratio34.15%45.32%56.49%67.66%78.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30,123.0642,572.9256,513.9972,087.5389,446.85108,758.32115,132.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)39,274.5939,646.8640,019.13
Year 2 PV (M)48,096.3849,012.4949,937.23
Year 3 PV (M)56,597.1958,221.8959,877.39
Year 4 PV (M)64,785.5367,277.0069,839.65
Year 5 PV (M)72,669.7676,179.7479,824.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,756,250.371,841,077.921,929,152.02
Equity Value (M)2,037,673.832,131,415.902,228,649.47
Shares Outstanding (M)3.923.923.92
Fair Value$520,321.80$544,258.92$569,087.60
Upside / Downside250.15%266.26%282.97%

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