Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Hanatour Service Inc. (039130.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$184,493.95 - $872,088.77$406,181.80
Multi-Stage$100,098.62 - $109,368.38$104,649.21
Blended Fair Value$255,415.50
Current Price$50,200.00
Upside408.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS39.69%18.72%5,077.6317.8722.76191.90481.15954.561,171.681,101.651,089.251,038.36
YoY Growth--28,314.02%-21.47%-88.14%-60.12%-49.59%-18.53%6.36%1.14%4.90%13.75%
Dividend Yield--9.44%0.03%0.04%0.23%0.74%2.67%1.67%0.95%1.42%1.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)67,933.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)37,487.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)30,445.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,586.618,491.635,094.98
Cash Retained (M)30,445.5130,445.5130,445.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,586.61-8,491.63-5,094.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)16,858.9021,953.8825,350.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.4915.4915.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,088.251,417.131,636.39
LTM Dividend per Share2,419.842,419.842,419.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,088.251,417.131,636.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,508.093,836.974,056.23
WACC / Discount Rate7.51%7.51%7.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$184,493.95$406,181.80$872,088.77
Upside / Downside267.52%709.13%1,637.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)67,933.0372,348.6877,051.3482,059.6887,393.5693,074.1495,866.36
Payout Ratio55.18%62.15%69.11%76.07%83.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)37,487.5244,962.1353,250.0562,425.4472,568.6583,766.7288,676.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.51%7.51%7.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)41,430.1841,822.8942,215.59
Year 2 PV (M)45,212.6546,073.8346,943.12
Year 3 PV (M)48,839.5350,241.5451,670.13
Year 4 PV (M)52,315.3254,327.2256,396.60
Year 5 PV (M)55,644.3958,332.0361,122.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,307,260.701,370,401.881,435,959.62
Equity Value (M)1,550,702.781,621,199.391,694,307.60
Shares Outstanding (M)15.4915.4915.49
Fair Value$100,098.62$104,649.21$109,368.38
Upside / Downside99.40%108.46%117.87%

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