Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

UL Solutions Inc. (ULS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.75 - $30.43$23.99
Multi-Stage$21.26 - $23.26$22.24
Blended Fair Value$23.12
Current Price$70.86
Upside-67.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS70.21%0.00%0.493.357.890.990.040.030.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---85.29%-57.50%700.00%2,122.22%28.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.87%9.60%22.59%2.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)339.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)103.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)236.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)67.8042.3825.43
Cash Retained (M)236.00236.00236.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-67.80-42.38-25.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)168.20193.63210.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)202.75202.75202.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.830.951.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.830.951.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.341.461.55
WACC / Discount Rate9.70%9.70%9.70%
Growth Rate2.39%3.39%4.39%
Fair Value$18.75$23.99$30.43
Upside / Downside-73.54%-66.14%-57.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)339.00350.50362.39374.68387.39400.52412.54
Payout Ratio30.38%42.31%54.23%66.15%78.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)103.00148.28196.52247.86302.46360.47381.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.70%9.70%9.70%
Growth Rate2.39%3.39%4.39%
Year 1 PV (M)133.87135.18136.48
Year 2 PV (M)160.17163.31166.49
Year 3 PV (M)182.37187.77193.27
Year 4 PV (M)200.91208.88217.07
Year 5 PV (M)216.17226.93238.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,417.083,587.243,764.10
Equity Value (M)4,310.584,509.314,715.54
Shares Outstanding (M)202.75202.75202.75
Fair Value$21.26$22.24$23.26
Upside / Downside-70.00%-68.61%-67.18%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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