Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Banco ABC Brasil S.A. (ABCB4.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$685.58 - $807.73$756.96
Multi-Stage$149.68 - $163.99$156.70
Blended Fair Value$456.83
Current Price$23.25
Upside1,864.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.050.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--334.02%78.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.26%0.05%0.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)969.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)266.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)703.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)193.91121.1972.72
Cash Retained (M)703.23703.23703.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-193.91-121.19-72.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)509.32582.04630.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)238.72238.72238.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.132.442.64
LTM Dividend per Share1.121.121.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.132.442.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.253.553.76
WACC / Discount Rate5.79%5.79%5.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$685.58$756.96$807.73
Upside / Downside2,848.72%3,155.73%3,374.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)969.551,032.571,099.691,171.171,247.291,328.371,368.22
Payout Ratio27.47%39.97%52.48%64.99%77.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)266.32412.77577.13761.11966.571,195.531,265.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.79%5.79%5.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)386.50390.16393.83
Year 2 PV (M)506.01515.65525.38
Year 3 PV (M)624.85642.79661.07
Year 4 PV (M)743.03771.61801.00
Year 5 PV (M)860.55902.12945.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)32,610.1334,185.2135,820.57
Equity Value (M)35,731.0837,407.5439,147.12
Shares Outstanding (M)238.72238.72238.72
Fair Value$149.68$156.70$163.99
Upside / Downside543.78%573.99%605.33%

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