Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

ENN Energy Holdings Limited (2688.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,794.62 - $2,114.37$1,981.47
Multi-Stage$414.58 - $453.98$433.92
Blended Fair Value$1,207.70
Current Price$57.19
Upside2,011.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.72%21.96%2.692.662.372.531.541.050.850.690.630.63
YoY Growth--1.28%12.04%-6.01%64.46%46.17%23.53%22.84%9.93%-0.56%71.26%
Dividend Yield--5.14%5.11%2.45%2.11%1.60%1.38%1.40%1.45%2.21%1.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,899.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,992.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,907.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,379.801,487.38892.43
Cash Retained (M)5,907.005,907.005,907.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,379.80-1,487.38-892.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,527.204,419.635,014.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,119.211,119.211,119.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.153.954.48
LTM Dividend per Share5.355.355.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.153.954.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.519.309.83
WACC / Discount Rate5.68%5.68%5.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,794.62$1,981.47$2,114.37
Upside / Downside3,038.00%3,364.72%3,597.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,899.0012,672.4413,496.1414,373.3915,307.6616,302.6616,791.74
Payout Ratio50.36%58.29%66.21%74.14%82.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,992.007,386.228,936.3810,656.8512,563.2214,672.4015,532.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.68%5.68%5.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6,923.876,989.507,055.12
Year 2 PV (M)7,852.618,002.188,153.16
Year 3 PV (M)8,778.249,030.239,287.00
Year 4 PV (M)9,700.7710,073.8310,457.55
Year 5 PV (M)10,620.1911,133.1511,665.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)420,121.38440,413.40461,482.04
Equity Value (M)463,997.06485,642.29508,100.63
Shares Outstanding (M)1,119.211,119.211,119.21
Fair Value$414.58$433.92$453.98
Upside / Downside624.91%658.73%693.82%

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