Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

De Rucci Healthy Sleep Co., Ltd. (001323.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40.83 - $120.50$64.43
Multi-Stage$28.60 - $31.17$29.86
Blended Fair Value$47.15
Current Price$27.61
Upside70.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS23.80%0.00%1.580.900.900.000.680.540.020.000.000.00
YoY Growth--74.77%0.00%0.00%-100.00%25.86%3,048.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.30%3.10%2.66%0.00%1.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)711.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)513.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)198.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)142.3888.9953.39
Cash Retained (M)198.58198.58198.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-142.38-88.99-53.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)56.20109.59145.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)442.13442.13442.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.250.33
LTM Dividend per Share1.161.161.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.250.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.291.411.49
WACC / Discount Rate8.83%8.83%8.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$40.83$64.43$120.50
Upside / Downside47.87%133.37%336.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)711.92758.20807.48859.97915.87975.401,004.66
Payout Ratio72.11%75.68%79.26%82.84%86.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)513.34573.84640.04712.42791.50877.86929.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.83%8.83%8.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)522.34527.29532.24
Year 2 PV (M)530.30540.41550.60
Year 3 PV (M)537.30552.72568.44
Year 4 PV (M)543.36564.26585.75
Year 5 PV (M)548.56575.05602.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,962.7910,444.0010,943.62
Equity Value (M)12,644.6513,203.7213,783.21
Shares Outstanding (M)442.13442.13442.13
Fair Value$28.60$29.86$31.17
Upside / Downside3.58%8.16%12.91%

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