Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $209,951.50 - $844,097.38 | $560,051.66 |
| Multi-Stage | $103,700.38 - $113,362.63 | $108,443.38 |
| Blended Fair Value | $334,247.52 | |
| Current Price | $26,775.00 | |
| Upside | 1,148.36% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 11.99% | 15.07% | 2,235.27 | 6,883.97 | 1,752.66 | 829.66 | 1,002.11 | 1,269.08 | 1,002.11 | 693.06 | 598.60 | 817.30 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -67.53% | 292.77% | 111.25% | -17.21% | -21.04% | 26.64% | 44.59% | 15.78% | -26.76% | 48.78% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 9.49% | 28.65% | 6.02% | 3.25% | 4.53% | 7.51% | 3.68% | 2.17% | 2.26% | 5.34% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 15,414,710.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 7,808,837.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 7,605,873.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 3,082,942.00 | 1,926,838.75 | 1,156,103.25 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 7,605,873.00 | 7,605,873.00 | 7,605,873.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -3,082,942.00 | -1,926,838.75 | -1,156,103.25 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 4,522,931.00 | 5,679,034.25 | 6,449,769.75 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 3,631.81 | 3,631.81 | 3,631.81 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 1,245.37 | 1,563.69 | 1,775.91 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 2,150.12 | 2,150.12 | 2,150.12 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 1,245.37 | 1,563.69 | 1,775.91 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 3,395.49 | 3,713.82 | 3,926.03 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.21% | 7.21% | 7.21% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $209,951.50 | $560,051.66 | $844,097.38 |
| Upside / Downside | 684.13% | 1,991.70% | 3,052.56% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 15,414,710.00 | 16,416,666.15 | 17,483,749.45 | 18,620,193.16 | 19,830,505.72 | 21,119,488.59 | 21,753,073.25 |
| Payout Ratio | 50.66% | 58.53% | 66.40% | 74.26% | 82.13% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 7,808,837.00 | 9,608,129.03 | 11,608,336.69 | 13,827,977.00 | 16,287,125.33 | 19,007,539.73 | 20,121,592.76 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.21% | 7.21% | 7.21% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 8,878,133.73 | 8,962,286.66 | 9,046,439.58 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 9,911,416.07 | 10,100,200.70 | 10,290,766.33 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 10,909,559.51 | 11,222,733.76 | 11,541,844.79 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 11,873,420.85 | 12,330,039.10 | 12,799,702.62 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 12,803,838.45 | 13,422,268.64 | 14,064,367.60 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 322,243,619.99 | 337,808,107.33 | 353,968,284.24 |
| Equity Value (M) | 376,619,988.60 | 393,845,636.20 | 411,711,405.16 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 3,631.81 | 3,631.81 | 3,631.81 |
| Fair Value | $103,700.38 | $108,443.38 | $113,362.63 |
| Upside / Downside | 287.30% | 305.02% | 323.39% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESP | Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. | 3.53% | $1.65 | 54.01% |
| F-PC | Ford Motor Company 6% Notes due | 3.53% | $0.74 | 63.45% |
| TECTP | Tectonic Financial, Inc. | 3.53% | $0.38 | 79.28% |
| AMFCX | American Funds American Mutual Fund | 3.52% | $2.06 | 90.87% |
| CRC | California Resources Corporation | 3.52% | $1.64 | 35.94% |
| FAF | First American Financial Corporation | 3.51% | $2.14 | 46.13% |
| GIC | Global Industrial Company | 3.51% | $1.03 | 58.36% |
| 0R0G.L | Mondelez International, Inc. | 3.50% | $1.89 | 69.92% |
| DCP | DCP Midstream, LP | 3.50% | $1.46 | 34.00% |
| LW | Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. | 3.50% | $1.48 | 70.35% |
| WSO | Watsco, Inc. | 3.50% | $12.16 | 83.88% |
| 0QYY.L | Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 3.49% | $0.72 | 17.57% |
| LKFN | Lakeland Financial Corporation | 3.49% | $1.97 | 52.13% |
| TRST | TrustCo Bank Corp NY | 3.49% | $1.44 | 48.14% |
| OMC | Omnicom Group Inc. | 3.47% | $2.83 | 41.26% |
| PROV | Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. | 3.47% | $0.55 | 61.73% |
| UTL | Unitil Corporation | 3.47% | $1.70 | 61.75% |
| BF-A | Brown-Forman Corporation | 3.45% | $0.91 | 52.84% |
| COFS | ChoiceOne Financial Services, Inc. | 3.45% | $1.00 | 70.38% |
| FCBP | First Choice Bancorp | 3.45% | $1.00 | 34.34% |
| NXST | Nexstar Media Group, Inc. | 3.45% | $7.20 | 42.75% |
| STBA | S&T Bancorp, Inc. | 3.45% | $1.35 | 29.75% |
| VABK | Virginia National Bankshares Corporation | 3.45% | $1.37 | 55.94% |
| F-PB | Ford Motor Company 6.20% Notes | 3.44% | $0.74 | 63.45% |
| 0K3B.L | The Mosaic Company | 3.43% | $0.87 | 22.53% |
| CPF | Central Pacific Financial Corp. | 3.43% | $1.07 | 43.87% |
| CTBI | Community Trust Bancorp, Inc. | 3.43% | $1.93 | 37.41% |
| IIIN | Insteel Industries, Inc. | 3.43% | $1.11 | 53.05% |
| JJSF | J&J Snack Foods Corp. | 3.43% | $3.11 | 92.62% |
| TMP | Tompkins Financial Corporation | 3.43% | $2.49 | 42.22% |
| ALRS | Alerus Financial Corporation | 3.41% | $0.77 | 39.09% |
| CNXC | Concentrix Corporation | 3.41% | $1.40 | 28.16% |
| FBP | First BanCorp. | 3.41% | $0.71 | 34.06% |
| GLO | Clough Global Opportunities Fund | 3.41% | $0.19 | 15.90% |
| OPBK | OP Bancorp | 3.41% | $0.48 | 30.19% |
| PHX | PHX Minerals Inc. | 3.39% | $0.15 | 81.44% |
| WHG | Westwood Holdings Group, Inc. | 3.39% | $0.60 | 73.76% |
| SCVL | Shoe Carnival, Inc. | 3.38% | $0.59 | 28.17% |
| OGS | ONE Gas, Inc. | 3.37% | $2.61 | 61.93% |
| VALU | Value Line, Inc. | 3.36% | $1.25 | 55.36% |
| WTRG | Essential Utilities, Inc. | 3.36% | $1.30 | 54.79% |
| AVNT | Avient Corporation | 3.35% | $1.06 | 86.14% |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands, Inc. | 3.35% | $2.06 | 53.00% |
| VCTR | Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. | 3.35% | $2.15 | 48.89% |
| WAFD | WaFd, Inc. | 3.35% | $1.08 | 37.44% |
| PB | Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. | 3.34% | $2.32 | 41.44% |
| PFG | Principal Financial Group, Inc. | 3.34% | $2.99 | 43.04% |
| EVBN | Evans Bancorp, Inc. | 3.33% | $1.31 | 60.97% |
| NFYS | Enphys Acquisition Corp. | 3.33% | $0.37 | 68.70% |
| KMPR | Kemper Corporation | 3.32% | $1.31 | 32.45% |