Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.09 - $26.24$22.70
Multi-Stage$38.90 - $42.61$40.72
Blended Fair Value$31.71
Current Price$90.23
Upside-64.86%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-15.65%-3.97%3.393.353.162.992.997.952.612.241.831.89
YoY Growth--1.27%5.98%5.58%0.05%-62.33%204.83%16.17%22.71%-3.37%-62.78%
Dividend Yield--3.76%3.90%3.20%3.50%3.68%9.14%3.55%2.53%2.02%2.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)199.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)189.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.8724.9214.95
Cash Retained (M)9.689.689.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.87-24.92-14.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)-30.19-15.24-5.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)55.8955.8955.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.54-0.27-0.09
LTM Dividend per Share3.393.393.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.54-0.27-0.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.853.123.30
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate-5.10%-4.10%-3.10%
Fair Value$19.09$22.70$26.24
Upside / Downside-78.84%-74.84%-70.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)199.33191.15183.31175.79168.57161.66166.51
Payout Ratio95.14%94.12%93.09%92.06%91.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)189.65179.90170.64161.83153.45145.49154.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate-5.10%-4.10%-3.10%
Year 1 PV (M)163.21164.93166.65
Year 2 PV (M)140.43143.41146.42
Year 3 PV (M)120.82124.68128.63
Year 4 PV (M)103.94108.39112.98
Year 5 PV (M)89.4094.2199.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,556.631,640.391,727.72
Equity Value (M)2,174.442,276.022,381.62
Shares Outstanding (M)55.8955.8955.89
Fair Value$38.90$40.72$42.61
Upside / Downside-56.88%-54.87%-52.78%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 10 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
ESPEspey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.3.53%$1.6554.01%
F-PCFord Motor Company 6% Notes due3.53%$0.7463.45%
TECTPTectonic Financial, Inc.3.53%$0.3879.28%
AMFCXAmerican Funds American Mutual Fund3.52%$2.0690.87%
CRCCalifornia Resources Corporation3.52%$1.6435.94%
FAFFirst American Financial Corporation3.51%$2.1446.13%
GICGlobal Industrial Company3.51%$1.0358.36%
0R0G.LMondelez International, Inc.3.50%$1.8969.92%
DCPDCP Midstream, LP3.50%$1.4634.00%
LWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.3.50%$1.4870.35%
WSOWatsco, Inc.3.50%$12.1683.88%
0QYY.LHarley-Davidson, Inc.3.49%$0.7217.57%
LKFNLakeland Financial Corporation3.49%$1.9752.13%
TRSTTrustCo Bank Corp NY3.49%$1.4448.14%
OMCOmnicom Group Inc.3.47%$2.8341.26%
PROVProvident Financial Holdings, Inc.3.47%$0.5561.73%
UTLUnitil Corporation3.47%$1.7061.75%
BF-ABrown-Forman Corporation3.45%$0.9152.84%
COFSChoiceOne Financial Services, Inc.3.45%$1.0070.38%
FCBPFirst Choice Bancorp3.45%$1.0034.34%
NXSTNexstar Media Group, Inc.3.45%$7.2042.75%
STBAS&T Bancorp, Inc.3.45%$1.3529.75%
VABKVirginia National Bankshares Corporation3.45%$1.3755.94%
F-PBFord Motor Company 6.20% Notes3.44%$0.7463.45%
0K3B.LThe Mosaic Company3.43%$0.8722.53%
CPFCentral Pacific Financial Corp.3.43%$1.0743.87%
CTBICommunity Trust Bancorp, Inc.3.43%$1.9337.41%
IIINInsteel Industries, Inc.3.43%$1.1153.05%
JJSFJ&J Snack Foods Corp.3.43%$3.1192.62%
TMPTompkins Financial Corporation3.43%$2.4942.22%
ALRSAlerus Financial Corporation3.41%$0.7739.09%
CNXCConcentrix Corporation3.41%$1.4028.16%
FBPFirst BanCorp.3.41%$0.7134.06%
GLOClough Global Opportunities Fund3.41%$0.1915.90%
OPBKOP Bancorp3.41%$0.4830.19%
PHXPHX Minerals Inc.3.39%$0.1581.44%
WHGWestwood Holdings Group, Inc.3.39%$0.6073.76%
SCVLShoe Carnival, Inc.3.38%$0.5928.17%
OGSONE Gas, Inc.3.37%$2.6161.93%
VALUValue Line, Inc.3.36%$1.2555.36%
WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.3.36%$1.3054.79%
AVNTAvient Corporation3.35%$1.0686.14%
KTBKontoor Brands, Inc.3.35%$2.0653.00%
VCTRVictory Capital Holdings, Inc.3.35%$2.1548.89%
WAFDWaFd, Inc.3.35%$1.0837.44%
PBProsperity Bancshares, Inc.3.34%$2.3241.44%
PFGPrincipal Financial Group, Inc.3.34%$2.9943.04%
EVBNEvans Bancorp, Inc.3.33%$1.3160.97%
NFYSEnphys Acquisition Corp.3.33%$0.3768.70%
KMPRKemper Corporation3.32%$1.3132.45%