Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Computershare Limited (CPU.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$48.61 - $110.38$70.68
Multi-Stage$57.73 - $63.26$60.44
Blended Fair Value$65.56
Current Price$35.69
Upside83.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.71%6.12%0.490.460.360.320.380.390.360.320.290.28
YoY Growth--6.14%27.98%13.31%-17.23%-1.19%6.12%12.21%12.68%1.68%5.42%
Dividend Yield--1.36%1.89%1.73%1.44%2.42%3.10%2.36%1.81%2.04%3.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,472.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)762.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)709.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)294.48184.05110.43
Cash Retained (M)709.92709.92709.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-294.48-184.05-110.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)415.44525.87599.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)598.50598.50598.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.690.881.00
LTM Dividend per Share1.271.271.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.690.881.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.972.152.28
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate2.71%3.71%4.71%
Fair Value$48.61$70.68$110.38
Upside / Downside36.20%98.03%209.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,472.421,527.111,583.841,642.671,703.681,766.961,819.97
Payout Ratio51.79%59.43%67.07%74.71%82.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)762.50907.531,062.301,227.301,403.101,590.271,683.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate2.71%3.71%4.71%
Year 1 PV (M)840.98849.17857.36
Year 2 PV (M)912.20930.05948.07
Year 3 PV (M)976.611,005.411,034.78
Year 4 PV (M)1,034.621,075.501,117.59
Year 5 PV (M)1,086.641,140.581,196.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,698.9131,173.0432,705.13
Equity Value (M)34,549.9736,173.7537,859.56
Shares Outstanding (M)598.50598.50598.50
Fair Value$57.73$60.44$63.26
Upside / Downside61.75%69.35%77.24%

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