Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Citic Guoan Wine CO.,LTD (600084.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.04 - $0.06$0.05
Multi-Stage$0.08 - $0.09$0.08
Blended Fair Value$0.07
Current Price$5.39
Upside-98.76%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-45.59%-45.79%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.030.030.050.09
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-85.06%13.10%-38.74%-48.15%-14.42%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.20%0.95%0.38%0.47%1.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.282.051.23
Cash Retained (M)15.2315.2315.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.28-2.05-1.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.9613.1814.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,141.261,141.261,141.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.010.010.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate-13.10%-12.10%-11.10%
Fair Value$0.04$0.05$0.06
Upside / Downside-99.20%-99.07%-98.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.3814.4012.6511.129.788.598.85
Payout Ratio6.99%23.59%40.20%56.80%73.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.153.405.096.327.187.748.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate-13.10%-12.10%-11.10%
Year 1 PV (M)3.053.093.12
Year 2 PV (M)4.114.214.30
Year 3 PV (M)4.594.754.92
Year 4 PV (M)4.694.915.14
Year 5 PV (M)4.544.815.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)69.1373.2077.46
Equity Value (M)90.1294.97100.04
Shares Outstanding (M)1,141.261,141.261,141.26
Fair Value$0.08$0.08$0.09
Upside / Downside-98.53%-98.46%-98.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 10 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
ESPEspey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.3.53%$1.6554.01%
F-PCFord Motor Company 6% Notes due3.53%$0.7463.45%
TECTPTectonic Financial, Inc.3.53%$0.3879.28%
AMFCXAmerican Funds American Mutual Fund3.52%$2.0690.87%
CRCCalifornia Resources Corporation3.52%$1.6435.94%
FAFFirst American Financial Corporation3.51%$2.1446.13%
GICGlobal Industrial Company3.51%$1.0358.36%
0R0G.LMondelez International, Inc.3.50%$1.8969.92%
DCPDCP Midstream, LP3.50%$1.4634.00%
LWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.3.50%$1.4870.35%
WSOWatsco, Inc.3.50%$12.1683.88%
0QYY.LHarley-Davidson, Inc.3.49%$0.7217.57%
LKFNLakeland Financial Corporation3.49%$1.9752.13%
TRSTTrustCo Bank Corp NY3.49%$1.4448.14%
OMCOmnicom Group Inc.3.47%$2.8341.26%
PROVProvident Financial Holdings, Inc.3.47%$0.5561.73%
UTLUnitil Corporation3.47%$1.7061.75%
BF-ABrown-Forman Corporation3.45%$0.9152.84%
COFSChoiceOne Financial Services, Inc.3.45%$1.0070.38%
FCBPFirst Choice Bancorp3.45%$1.0034.34%
NXSTNexstar Media Group, Inc.3.45%$7.2042.75%
STBAS&T Bancorp, Inc.3.45%$1.3529.75%
VABKVirginia National Bankshares Corporation3.45%$1.3755.94%
F-PBFord Motor Company 6.20% Notes3.44%$0.7463.45%
0K3B.LThe Mosaic Company3.43%$0.8722.53%
CPFCentral Pacific Financial Corp.3.43%$1.0743.87%
CTBICommunity Trust Bancorp, Inc.3.43%$1.9337.41%
IIINInsteel Industries, Inc.3.43%$1.1153.05%
JJSFJ&J Snack Foods Corp.3.43%$3.1192.62%
TMPTompkins Financial Corporation3.43%$2.4942.22%
ALRSAlerus Financial Corporation3.41%$0.7739.09%
CNXCConcentrix Corporation3.41%$1.4028.16%
FBPFirst BanCorp.3.41%$0.7134.06%
GLOClough Global Opportunities Fund3.41%$0.1915.90%
OPBKOP Bancorp3.41%$0.4830.19%
PHXPHX Minerals Inc.3.39%$0.1581.44%
WHGWestwood Holdings Group, Inc.3.39%$0.6073.76%
SCVLShoe Carnival, Inc.3.38%$0.5928.17%
OGSONE Gas, Inc.3.37%$2.6161.93%
VALUValue Line, Inc.3.36%$1.2555.36%
WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.3.36%$1.3054.79%
AVNTAvient Corporation3.35%$1.0686.14%
KTBKontoor Brands, Inc.3.35%$2.0653.00%
VCTRVictory Capital Holdings, Inc.3.35%$2.1548.89%
WAFDWaFd, Inc.3.35%$1.0837.44%
PBProsperity Bancshares, Inc.3.34%$2.3241.44%
PFGPrincipal Financial Group, Inc.3.34%$2.9943.04%
EVBNEvans Bancorp, Inc.3.33%$1.3160.97%
NFYSEnphys Acquisition Corp.3.33%$0.3768.70%
KMPRKemper Corporation3.32%$1.3132.45%