Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $391,967.96 - $1,951,342.67 | $821,829.40 |
| Multi-Stage | $240,827.74 - $263,682.67 | $252,044.44 |
| Blended Fair Value | $536,936.92 | |
| Current Price | $61,400.00 | |
| Upside | 774.49% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 8.81% | 12.23% | 2,568.44 | 2,962.12 | 3,123.26 | 2,470.36 | 1,963.80 | 1,683.93 | 1,448.67 | 1,432.17 | 1,356.24 | 1,107.04 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -13.29% | -5.16% | 26.43% | 25.79% | 16.62% | 16.24% | 1.15% | 5.60% | 22.51% | 36.61% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 5.46% | 6.50% | 8.84% | 5.95% | 5.24% | 5.89% | 3.31% | 3.13% | 2.91% | 2.73% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 4,867,041.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,292,142.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 3,574,899.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 973,408.20 | 608,380.13 | 365,028.08 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 3,574,899.00 | 3,574,899.00 | 3,574,899.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -973,408.20 | -608,380.13 | -365,028.08 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 2,601,490.80 | 2,966,518.88 | 3,209,870.93 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 493.35 | 493.35 | 493.35 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 5,273.08 | 6,012.97 | 6,506.24 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 2,619.10 | 2,619.10 | 2,619.10 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 5,273.08 | 6,012.97 | 6,506.24 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 7,892.18 | 8,632.08 | 9,125.34 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 4.92% | 5.92% | 6.92% |
| Fair Value | $391,967.96 | $821,829.40 | $1,951,342.67 |
| Upside / Downside | 538.38% | 1,238.48% | 3,078.08% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 4,867,041.00 | 5,155,117.49 | 5,460,245.00 | 5,783,432.79 | 6,125,749.81 | 6,488,328.32 | 6,682,978.17 |
| Payout Ratio | 26.55% | 39.24% | 51.93% | 64.62% | 77.31% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,292,142.00 | 2,022,819.48 | 2,835,466.60 | 3,737,226.99 | 4,735,802.73 | 5,839,495.49 | 6,181,754.81 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | 4.92% | 5.92% | 6.92% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,872,086.94 | 1,889,930.12 | 1,907,773.30 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 2,428,635.35 | 2,475,151.44 | 2,522,108.78 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 2,962,484.86 | 3,048,002.62 | 3,135,150.50 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 3,474,314.70 | 3,608,677.59 | 3,746,900.49 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 3,964,786.13 | 4,157,367.59 | 4,357,360.80 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 104,110,779.58 | 109,167,750.03 | 114,419,344.56 |
| Equity Value (M) | 118,813,087.55 | 124,346,879.38 | 130,088,638.43 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 493.35 | 493.35 | 493.35 |
| Fair Value | $240,827.74 | $252,044.44 | $263,682.67 |
| Upside / Downside | 292.23% | 310.50% | 329.45% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESP | Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. | 3.53% | $1.65 | 54.01% |
| F-PC | Ford Motor Company 6% Notes due | 3.53% | $0.74 | 63.45% |
| TECTP | Tectonic Financial, Inc. | 3.53% | $0.38 | 79.28% |
| AMFCX | American Funds American Mutual Fund | 3.52% | $2.06 | 90.87% |
| CRC | California Resources Corporation | 3.52% | $1.64 | 35.94% |
| FAF | First American Financial Corporation | 3.51% | $2.14 | 46.13% |
| GIC | Global Industrial Company | 3.51% | $1.03 | 58.36% |
| 0R0G.L | Mondelez International, Inc. | 3.50% | $1.89 | 69.92% |
| DCP | DCP Midstream, LP | 3.50% | $1.46 | 34.00% |
| LW | Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. | 3.50% | $1.48 | 70.35% |
| WSO | Watsco, Inc. | 3.50% | $12.16 | 83.88% |
| 0QYY.L | Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 3.49% | $0.72 | 17.57% |
| LKFN | Lakeland Financial Corporation | 3.49% | $1.97 | 52.13% |
| TRST | TrustCo Bank Corp NY | 3.49% | $1.44 | 48.14% |
| OMC | Omnicom Group Inc. | 3.47% | $2.83 | 41.26% |
| PROV | Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. | 3.47% | $0.55 | 61.73% |
| UTL | Unitil Corporation | 3.47% | $1.70 | 61.75% |
| BF-A | Brown-Forman Corporation | 3.45% | $0.91 | 52.84% |
| COFS | ChoiceOne Financial Services, Inc. | 3.45% | $1.00 | 70.38% |
| FCBP | First Choice Bancorp | 3.45% | $1.00 | 34.34% |
| NXST | Nexstar Media Group, Inc. | 3.45% | $7.20 | 42.75% |
| STBA | S&T Bancorp, Inc. | 3.45% | $1.35 | 29.75% |
| VABK | Virginia National Bankshares Corporation | 3.45% | $1.37 | 55.94% |
| F-PB | Ford Motor Company 6.20% Notes | 3.44% | $0.74 | 63.45% |
| 0K3B.L | The Mosaic Company | 3.43% | $0.87 | 22.53% |
| CPF | Central Pacific Financial Corp. | 3.43% | $1.07 | 43.87% |
| CTBI | Community Trust Bancorp, Inc. | 3.43% | $1.93 | 37.41% |
| IIIN | Insteel Industries, Inc. | 3.43% | $1.11 | 53.05% |
| JJSF | J&J Snack Foods Corp. | 3.43% | $3.11 | 92.62% |
| TMP | Tompkins Financial Corporation | 3.43% | $2.49 | 42.22% |
| ALRS | Alerus Financial Corporation | 3.41% | $0.77 | 39.09% |
| CNXC | Concentrix Corporation | 3.41% | $1.40 | 28.16% |
| FBP | First BanCorp. | 3.41% | $0.71 | 34.06% |
| GLO | Clough Global Opportunities Fund | 3.41% | $0.19 | 15.90% |
| OPBK | OP Bancorp | 3.41% | $0.48 | 30.19% |
| PHX | PHX Minerals Inc. | 3.39% | $0.15 | 81.44% |
| WHG | Westwood Holdings Group, Inc. | 3.39% | $0.60 | 73.76% |
| SCVL | Shoe Carnival, Inc. | 3.38% | $0.59 | 28.17% |
| OGS | ONE Gas, Inc. | 3.37% | $2.61 | 61.93% |
| VALU | Value Line, Inc. | 3.36% | $1.25 | 55.36% |
| WTRG | Essential Utilities, Inc. | 3.36% | $1.30 | 54.79% |
| AVNT | Avient Corporation | 3.35% | $1.06 | 86.14% |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands, Inc. | 3.35% | $2.06 | 53.00% |
| VCTR | Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. | 3.35% | $2.15 | 48.89% |
| WAFD | WaFd, Inc. | 3.35% | $1.08 | 37.44% |
| PB | Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. | 3.34% | $2.32 | 41.44% |
| PFG | Principal Financial Group, Inc. | 3.34% | $2.99 | 43.04% |
| EVBN | Evans Bancorp, Inc. | 3.33% | $1.31 | 60.97% |
| NFYS | Enphys Acquisition Corp. | 3.33% | $0.37 | 68.70% |
| KMPR | Kemper Corporation | 3.32% | $1.31 | 32.45% |