Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.79 - $99.88$58.77
Multi-Stage$27.14 - $29.66$28.38
Blended Fair Value$43.57
Current Price$19.57
Upside122.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.60%0.00%0.400.410.310.310.340.370.370.310.210.16
YoY Growth---0.81%33.70%0.00%-10.51%-8.78%1.53%18.84%45.03%30.63%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.56%1.42%1.20%1.52%1.88%3.07%2.88%2.02%1.66%1.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)511.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)127.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)384.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)102.2063.8838.33
Cash Retained (M)384.00384.00384.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-102.20-63.88-38.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)281.80320.13345.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)301.28301.28301.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.941.061.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.941.061.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.361.481.57
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Fair Value$38.79$58.77$99.88
Upside / Downside98.22%200.31%410.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)511.00543.76578.62615.71655.19697.19718.10
Payout Ratio24.85%37.88%50.91%63.94%76.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)127.00205.99294.59393.69504.30627.47664.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Year 1 PV (M)187.04188.81190.59
Year 2 PV (M)242.87247.50252.18
Year 3 PV (M)294.72303.19311.81
Year 4 PV (M)342.78355.98369.55
Year 5 PV (M)387.26405.98425.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,722.877,047.867,385.31
Equity Value (M)8,177.548,549.328,934.86
Shares Outstanding (M)301.28301.28301.28
Fair Value$27.14$28.38$29.66
Upside / Downside38.70%45.00%51.54%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 10 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
ESPEspey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.3.53%$1.6554.01%
F-PCFord Motor Company 6% Notes due3.53%$0.7463.45%
TECTPTectonic Financial, Inc.3.53%$0.3879.28%
AMFCXAmerican Funds American Mutual Fund3.52%$2.0690.87%
CRCCalifornia Resources Corporation3.52%$1.6435.94%
FAFFirst American Financial Corporation3.51%$2.1446.13%
GICGlobal Industrial Company3.51%$1.0358.36%
0R0G.LMondelez International, Inc.3.50%$1.8969.92%
DCPDCP Midstream, LP3.50%$1.4634.00%
LWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.3.50%$1.4870.35%
WSOWatsco, Inc.3.50%$12.1683.88%
0QYY.LHarley-Davidson, Inc.3.49%$0.7217.57%
LKFNLakeland Financial Corporation3.49%$1.9752.13%
TRSTTrustCo Bank Corp NY3.49%$1.4448.14%
OMCOmnicom Group Inc.3.47%$2.8341.26%
PROVProvident Financial Holdings, Inc.3.47%$0.5561.73%
UTLUnitil Corporation3.47%$1.7061.75%
BF-ABrown-Forman Corporation3.45%$0.9152.84%
COFSChoiceOne Financial Services, Inc.3.45%$1.0070.38%
FCBPFirst Choice Bancorp3.45%$1.0034.34%
NXSTNexstar Media Group, Inc.3.45%$7.2042.75%
STBAS&T Bancorp, Inc.3.45%$1.3529.75%
VABKVirginia National Bankshares Corporation3.45%$1.3755.94%
F-PBFord Motor Company 6.20% Notes3.44%$0.7463.45%
0K3B.LThe Mosaic Company3.43%$0.8722.53%
CPFCentral Pacific Financial Corp.3.43%$1.0743.87%
CTBICommunity Trust Bancorp, Inc.3.43%$1.9337.41%
IIINInsteel Industries, Inc.3.43%$1.1153.05%
JJSFJ&J Snack Foods Corp.3.43%$3.1192.62%
TMPTompkins Financial Corporation3.43%$2.4942.22%
ALRSAlerus Financial Corporation3.41%$0.7739.09%
CNXCConcentrix Corporation3.41%$1.4028.16%
FBPFirst BanCorp.3.41%$0.7134.06%
GLOClough Global Opportunities Fund3.41%$0.1915.90%
OPBKOP Bancorp3.41%$0.4830.19%
PHXPHX Minerals Inc.3.39%$0.1581.44%
WHGWestwood Holdings Group, Inc.3.39%$0.6073.76%
SCVLShoe Carnival, Inc.3.38%$0.5928.17%
OGSONE Gas, Inc.3.37%$2.6161.93%
VALUValue Line, Inc.3.36%$1.2555.36%
WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.3.36%$1.3054.79%
AVNTAvient Corporation3.35%$1.0686.14%
KTBKontoor Brands, Inc.3.35%$2.0653.00%
VCTRVictory Capital Holdings, Inc.3.35%$2.1548.89%
WAFDWaFd, Inc.3.35%$1.0837.44%
PBProsperity Bancshares, Inc.3.34%$2.3241.44%
PFGPrincipal Financial Group, Inc.3.34%$2.9943.04%
EVBNEvans Bancorp, Inc.3.33%$1.3160.97%
NFYSEnphys Acquisition Corp.3.33%$0.3768.70%
KMPRKemper Corporation3.32%$1.3132.45%