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The Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (GAB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.61 - $10.96$9.24
Multi-Stage$13.27 - $14.52$13.88
Blended Fair Value$11.56
Current Price$5.82
Upside98.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.480.390.390.390.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--22.06%0.02%-0.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.89%7.72%7.15%5.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)410.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)335.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)75.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)82.0351.2730.76
Cash Retained (M)75.0575.0575.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-82.03-51.27-30.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)-6.9823.7844.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)381.32381.32381.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.060.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.880.880.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.060.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.860.940.99
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.61$9.24$10.96
Upside / Downside30.77%58.83%88.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)410.15406.05401.99397.97393.99390.05401.75
Payout Ratio81.70%83.36%85.02%86.68%88.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)335.11338.49341.78344.97348.06351.05371.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)307.18310.32313.45
Year 2 PV (M)281.47287.25293.08
Year 3 PV (M)257.82265.79273.93
Year 4 PV (M)236.06245.85255.93
Year 5 PV (M)216.07227.32239.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,762.083,957.984,161.95
Equity Value (M)5,060.695,294.505,537.38
Shares Outstanding (M)381.32381.32381.32
Fair Value$13.27$13.88$14.52
Upside / Downside128.03%138.57%149.51%

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