Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (ARCO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$79.20 - $231.62$217.06
Multi-Stage$31.46 - $34.44$32.92
Blended Fair Value$124.99
Current Price$7.89
Upside1,484.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.65%0.10%0.240.190.150.000.050.110.100.000.000.06
YoY Growth--26.32%26.70%150,314.29%-99.79%-54.43%7.11%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-75.00%
Dividend Yield--2.98%1.70%1.94%0.00%0.97%3.24%1.40%0.00%0.00%1.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)245.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)194.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.0730.6718.40
Cash Retained (M)194.79194.79194.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.07-30.67-18.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)145.72164.12176.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)210.66210.66210.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.690.780.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.690.780.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.931.021.08
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$79.20$217.06$231.62
Upside / Downside903.81%2,651.11%2,835.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)245.35261.30278.28296.37315.63336.15346.24
Payout Ratio20.61%34.49%48.36%62.24%76.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.5690.11134.59184.47240.27302.54320.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)83.6384.4285.21
Year 2 PV (M)115.92118.13120.36
Year 3 PV (M)147.45151.68155.99
Year 4 PV (M)178.23185.08192.13
Year 5 PV (M)208.27218.33228.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,893.426,178.076,473.62
Equity Value (M)6,626.916,935.717,256.09
Shares Outstanding (M)210.66210.66210.66
Fair Value$31.46$32.92$34.44
Upside / Downside298.70%317.28%336.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 10 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
ESPEspey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.3.53%$1.6554.01%
F-PCFord Motor Company 6% Notes due3.53%$0.7463.45%
TECTPTectonic Financial, Inc.3.53%$0.3879.28%
AMFCXAmerican Funds American Mutual Fund3.52%$2.0690.87%
CRCCalifornia Resources Corporation3.52%$1.6435.94%
FAFFirst American Financial Corporation3.51%$2.1446.13%
GICGlobal Industrial Company3.51%$1.0358.36%
0R0G.LMondelez International, Inc.3.50%$1.8969.92%
DCPDCP Midstream, LP3.50%$1.4634.00%
LWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.3.50%$1.4870.35%
WSOWatsco, Inc.3.50%$12.1683.88%
0QYY.LHarley-Davidson, Inc.3.49%$0.7217.57%
LKFNLakeland Financial Corporation3.49%$1.9752.13%
TRSTTrustCo Bank Corp NY3.49%$1.4448.14%
OMCOmnicom Group Inc.3.47%$2.8341.26%
PROVProvident Financial Holdings, Inc.3.47%$0.5561.73%
UTLUnitil Corporation3.47%$1.7061.75%
BF-ABrown-Forman Corporation3.45%$0.9152.84%
COFSChoiceOne Financial Services, Inc.3.45%$1.0070.38%
FCBPFirst Choice Bancorp3.45%$1.0034.34%
NXSTNexstar Media Group, Inc.3.45%$7.2042.75%
STBAS&T Bancorp, Inc.3.45%$1.3529.75%
VABKVirginia National Bankshares Corporation3.45%$1.3755.94%
F-PBFord Motor Company 6.20% Notes3.44%$0.7463.45%
0K3B.LThe Mosaic Company3.43%$0.8722.53%
CPFCentral Pacific Financial Corp.3.43%$1.0743.87%
CTBICommunity Trust Bancorp, Inc.3.43%$1.9337.41%
IIINInsteel Industries, Inc.3.43%$1.1153.05%
JJSFJ&J Snack Foods Corp.3.43%$3.1192.62%
TMPTompkins Financial Corporation3.43%$2.4942.22%
ALRSAlerus Financial Corporation3.41%$0.7739.09%
CNXCConcentrix Corporation3.41%$1.4028.16%
FBPFirst BanCorp.3.41%$0.7134.06%
GLOClough Global Opportunities Fund3.41%$0.1915.90%
OPBKOP Bancorp3.41%$0.4830.19%
PHXPHX Minerals Inc.3.39%$0.1581.44%
WHGWestwood Holdings Group, Inc.3.39%$0.6073.76%
SCVLShoe Carnival, Inc.3.38%$0.5928.17%
OGSONE Gas, Inc.3.37%$2.6161.93%
VALUValue Line, Inc.3.36%$1.2555.36%
WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.3.36%$1.3054.79%
AVNTAvient Corporation3.35%$1.0686.14%
KTBKontoor Brands, Inc.3.35%$2.0653.00%
VCTRVictory Capital Holdings, Inc.3.35%$2.1548.89%
WAFDWaFd, Inc.3.35%$1.0837.44%
PBProsperity Bancshares, Inc.3.34%$2.3241.44%
PFGPrincipal Financial Group, Inc.3.34%$2.9943.04%
EVBNEvans Bancorp, Inc.3.33%$1.3160.97%
NFYSEnphys Acquisition Corp.3.33%$0.3768.70%
KMPRKemper Corporation3.32%$1.3132.45%