Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Analysis Mode

Ticker / Industry / Sector

Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group Co., Ltd. (600638.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.31 - $3.60$2.91
Multi-Stage$5.68 - $6.25$5.96
Blended Fair Value$4.43
Current Price$6.08
Upside-27.11%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-14.29%-5.38%0.310.330.420.460.300.670.540.450.370.37
YoY Growth---5.55%-21.84%-8.48%54.86%-55.79%23.45%20.11%21.86%-0.22%-31.06%
Dividend Yield--6.18%7.30%7.33%7.19%5.22%12.69%5.17%3.71%2.22%3.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)162.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)148.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.5420.3412.20
Cash Retained (M)14.1214.1214.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.54-20.34-12.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)-18.42-6.221.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)674.21674.21674.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.010.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.010.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.210.22
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.31$2.91$3.60
Upside / Downside-62.03%-52.21%-40.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)162.69161.07159.46157.86156.28154.72159.36
Payout Ratio91.32%91.06%90.79%90.53%90.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)148.57146.66144.77142.91141.07139.25147.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)136.71138.11139.50
Year 2 PV (M)125.80128.38130.98
Year 3 PV (M)115.75119.33122.98
Year 4 PV (M)106.51110.92115.47
Year 5 PV (M)98.00103.11108.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,247.873,416.993,593.09
Equity Value (M)3,830.644,016.844,210.45
Shares Outstanding (M)674.21674.21674.21
Fair Value$5.68$5.96$6.25
Upside / Downside-6.55%-2.01%2.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 10 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
ESPEspey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.3.53%$1.6554.01%
F-PCFord Motor Company 6% Notes due3.53%$0.7463.45%
TECTPTectonic Financial, Inc.3.53%$0.3879.28%
AMFCXAmerican Funds American Mutual Fund3.52%$2.0690.87%
CRCCalifornia Resources Corporation3.52%$1.6435.94%
FAFFirst American Financial Corporation3.51%$2.1446.13%
GICGlobal Industrial Company3.51%$1.0358.36%
0R0G.LMondelez International, Inc.3.50%$1.8969.92%
DCPDCP Midstream, LP3.50%$1.4634.00%
LWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.3.50%$1.4870.35%
WSOWatsco, Inc.3.50%$12.1683.88%
0QYY.LHarley-Davidson, Inc.3.49%$0.7217.57%
LKFNLakeland Financial Corporation3.49%$1.9752.13%
TRSTTrustCo Bank Corp NY3.49%$1.4448.14%
OMCOmnicom Group Inc.3.47%$2.8341.26%
PROVProvident Financial Holdings, Inc.3.47%$0.5561.73%
UTLUnitil Corporation3.47%$1.7061.75%
BF-ABrown-Forman Corporation3.45%$0.9152.84%
COFSChoiceOne Financial Services, Inc.3.45%$1.0070.38%
FCBPFirst Choice Bancorp3.45%$1.0034.34%
NXSTNexstar Media Group, Inc.3.45%$7.2042.75%
STBAS&T Bancorp, Inc.3.45%$1.3529.75%
VABKVirginia National Bankshares Corporation3.45%$1.3755.94%
F-PBFord Motor Company 6.20% Notes3.44%$0.7463.45%
0K3B.LThe Mosaic Company3.43%$0.8722.53%
CPFCentral Pacific Financial Corp.3.43%$1.0743.87%
CTBICommunity Trust Bancorp, Inc.3.43%$1.9337.41%
IIINInsteel Industries, Inc.3.43%$1.1153.05%
JJSFJ&J Snack Foods Corp.3.43%$3.1192.62%
TMPTompkins Financial Corporation3.43%$2.4942.22%
ALRSAlerus Financial Corporation3.41%$0.7739.09%
CNXCConcentrix Corporation3.41%$1.4028.16%
FBPFirst BanCorp.3.41%$0.7134.06%
GLOClough Global Opportunities Fund3.41%$0.1915.90%
OPBKOP Bancorp3.41%$0.4830.19%
PHXPHX Minerals Inc.3.39%$0.1581.44%
WHGWestwood Holdings Group, Inc.3.39%$0.6073.76%
SCVLShoe Carnival, Inc.3.38%$0.5928.17%
OGSONE Gas, Inc.3.37%$2.6161.93%
VALUValue Line, Inc.3.36%$1.2555.36%
WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.3.36%$1.3054.79%
AVNTAvient Corporation3.35%$1.0686.14%
KTBKontoor Brands, Inc.3.35%$2.0653.00%
VCTRVictory Capital Holdings, Inc.3.35%$2.1548.89%
WAFDWaFd, Inc.3.35%$1.0837.44%
PBProsperity Bancshares, Inc.3.34%$2.3241.44%
PFGPrincipal Financial Group, Inc.3.34%$2.9943.04%
EVBNEvans Bancorp, Inc.3.33%$1.3160.97%
NFYSEnphys Acquisition Corp.3.33%$0.3768.70%
KMPRKemper Corporation3.32%$1.3132.45%