Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $391,607.31 - $2,104,591.66 | $770,206.28 |
| Multi-Stage | $293,409.29 - $321,678.76 | $307,280.47 |
| Blended Fair Value | $538,743.38 | |
| Current Price | $112,300.00 | |
| Upside | 379.74% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 15.89% | 6.21% | 2,763.97 | 5,287.89 | 10,122.58 | 4,174.12 | 1,473.13 | 1,322.25 | 983.90 | 796.34 | 809.89 | 1,513.74 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -47.73% | -47.76% | 142.51% | 183.35% | 11.41% | 34.39% | 23.55% | -1.67% | -46.50% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 2.29% | 3.80% | 7.04% | 2.69% | 0.56% | 2.04% | 1.00% | 0.83% | 1.03% | 2.60% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 297,183.37 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 57,516.08 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 239,667.30 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 59,436.67 | 37,147.92 | 22,288.75 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 239,667.30 | 239,667.30 | 239,667.30 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -59,436.67 | -37,147.92 | -22,288.75 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 180,230.62 | 202,519.38 | 217,378.55 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 27.74 | 27.74 | 27.74 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 6,496.08 | 7,299.44 | 7,835.01 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 2,073.06 | 2,073.06 | 2,073.06 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 6,496.08 | 7,299.44 | 7,835.01 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 8,569.15 | 9,372.50 | 9,908.08 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.49% | 6.49% | 6.49% |
| Growth Rate | 4.21% | 5.21% | 6.21% |
| Fair Value | $391,607.31 | $770,206.28 | $2,104,591.66 |
| Upside / Downside | 248.72% | 585.85% | 1,774.08% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 297,183.37 | 312,654.35 | 328,930.72 | 346,054.41 | 364,069.55 | 383,022.53 | 394,513.20 |
| Payout Ratio | 19.35% | 33.48% | 47.61% | 61.74% | 75.87% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 57,516.08 | 104,686.01 | 156,611.28 | 213,659.16 | 276,222.28 | 344,720.27 | 364,924.71 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.49% | 6.49% | 6.49% |
| Growth Rate | 4.21% | 5.21% | 6.21% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 97,375.11 | 98,309.56 | 99,244.01 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 135,500.73 | 138,113.84 | 140,751.91 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 171,948.90 | 176,946.82 | 182,040.67 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 206,773.98 | 214,826.10 | 223,111.13 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 240,028.77 | 251,768.99 | 263,964.17 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 7,288,866.69 | 7,645,377.77 | 8,015,704.41 |
| Equity Value (M) | 8,140,494.17 | 8,525,343.07 | 8,924,816.29 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 27.74 | 27.74 | 27.74 |
| Fair Value | $293,409.29 | $307,280.47 | $321,678.76 |
| Upside / Downside | 161.27% | 173.62% | 186.45% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESP | Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. | 3.53% | $1.65 | 54.01% |
| F-PC | Ford Motor Company 6% Notes due | 3.53% | $0.74 | 63.45% |
| TECTP | Tectonic Financial, Inc. | 3.53% | $0.38 | 79.28% |
| AMFCX | American Funds American Mutual Fund | 3.52% | $2.06 | 90.87% |
| CRC | California Resources Corporation | 3.52% | $1.64 | 35.94% |
| FAF | First American Financial Corporation | 3.51% | $2.14 | 46.13% |
| GIC | Global Industrial Company | 3.51% | $1.03 | 58.36% |
| 0R0G.L | Mondelez International, Inc. | 3.50% | $1.89 | 69.92% |
| DCP | DCP Midstream, LP | 3.50% | $1.46 | 34.00% |
| LW | Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. | 3.50% | $1.48 | 70.35% |
| WSO | Watsco, Inc. | 3.50% | $12.16 | 83.88% |
| 0QYY.L | Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 3.49% | $0.72 | 17.57% |
| LKFN | Lakeland Financial Corporation | 3.49% | $1.97 | 52.13% |
| TRST | TrustCo Bank Corp NY | 3.49% | $1.44 | 48.14% |
| OMC | Omnicom Group Inc. | 3.47% | $2.83 | 41.26% |
| PROV | Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. | 3.47% | $0.55 | 61.73% |
| UTL | Unitil Corporation | 3.47% | $1.70 | 61.75% |
| BF-A | Brown-Forman Corporation | 3.45% | $0.91 | 52.84% |
| COFS | ChoiceOne Financial Services, Inc. | 3.45% | $1.00 | 70.38% |
| FCBP | First Choice Bancorp | 3.45% | $1.00 | 34.34% |
| NXST | Nexstar Media Group, Inc. | 3.45% | $7.20 | 42.75% |
| STBA | S&T Bancorp, Inc. | 3.45% | $1.35 | 29.75% |
| VABK | Virginia National Bankshares Corporation | 3.45% | $1.37 | 55.94% |
| F-PB | Ford Motor Company 6.20% Notes | 3.44% | $0.74 | 63.45% |
| 0K3B.L | The Mosaic Company | 3.43% | $0.87 | 22.53% |
| CPF | Central Pacific Financial Corp. | 3.43% | $1.07 | 43.87% |
| CTBI | Community Trust Bancorp, Inc. | 3.43% | $1.93 | 37.41% |
| IIIN | Insteel Industries, Inc. | 3.43% | $1.11 | 53.05% |
| JJSF | J&J Snack Foods Corp. | 3.43% | $3.11 | 92.62% |
| TMP | Tompkins Financial Corporation | 3.43% | $2.49 | 42.22% |
| ALRS | Alerus Financial Corporation | 3.41% | $0.77 | 39.09% |
| CNXC | Concentrix Corporation | 3.41% | $1.40 | 28.16% |
| FBP | First BanCorp. | 3.41% | $0.71 | 34.06% |
| GLO | Clough Global Opportunities Fund | 3.41% | $0.19 | 15.90% |
| OPBK | OP Bancorp | 3.41% | $0.48 | 30.19% |
| PHX | PHX Minerals Inc. | 3.39% | $0.15 | 81.44% |
| WHG | Westwood Holdings Group, Inc. | 3.39% | $0.60 | 73.76% |
| SCVL | Shoe Carnival, Inc. | 3.38% | $0.59 | 28.17% |
| OGS | ONE Gas, Inc. | 3.37% | $2.61 | 61.93% |
| VALU | Value Line, Inc. | 3.36% | $1.25 | 55.36% |
| WTRG | Essential Utilities, Inc. | 3.36% | $1.30 | 54.79% |
| AVNT | Avient Corporation | 3.35% | $1.06 | 86.14% |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands, Inc. | 3.35% | $2.06 | 53.00% |
| VCTR | Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. | 3.35% | $2.15 | 48.89% |
| WAFD | WaFd, Inc. | 3.35% | $1.08 | 37.44% |
| PB | Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. | 3.34% | $2.32 | 41.44% |
| PFG | Principal Financial Group, Inc. | 3.34% | $2.99 | 43.04% |
| EVBN | Evans Bancorp, Inc. | 3.33% | $1.31 | 60.97% |
| NFYS | Enphys Acquisition Corp. | 3.33% | $0.37 | 68.70% |
| KMPR | Kemper Corporation | 3.32% | $1.31 | 32.45% |