Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis
Financial Statements
Periods / Units
Fundamentals
Valuations
Miscellaneous
Analysis Mode
Full Access
See Pricing Start Trial

The Progressive Corporation (PGR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$427.52 - $1,134.09$653.72
Multi-Stage$293.49 - $320.61$306.80
Blended Fair Value$480.26
Current Price$246.95
Upside94.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-16.33%-2.77%1.150.400.406.372.642.801.110.670.880.69
YoY Growth--188.03%0.00%-93.75%141.55%-5.61%150.91%65.63%-23.82%28.59%-54.78%
Dividend Yield--0.41%0.19%0.28%5.59%2.76%3.79%1.53%1.10%2.25%1.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,713.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,870.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,842.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,142.701,339.19803.51
Cash Retained (M)7,842.607,842.607,842.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,142.70-1,339.19-803.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,699.906,503.417,039.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)587.84587.84587.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share9.7011.0611.97
LTM Dividend per Share4.884.884.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share9.7011.0611.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend14.5815.9516.86
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$427.52$653.72$1,134.09
Upside / Downside73.12%164.72%359.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,713.5011,409.8812,151.5212,941.3713,782.5614,678.4215,118.78
Payout Ratio26.80%39.44%52.08%64.72%77.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,870.904,499.786,328.298,375.5010,662.1013,210.5813,984.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,085.814,124.534,163.26
Year 2 PV (M)5,217.465,316.835,417.15
Year 3 PV (M)6,270.026,450.016,633.41
Year 4 PV (M)7,247.487,526.207,812.88
Year 5 PV (M)8,153.658,547.488,956.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)141,547.19148,383.98155,482.42
Equity Value (M)172,521.61180,349.03188,465.50
Shares Outstanding (M)587.84587.84587.84
Fair Value$293.49$306.80$320.61
Upside / Downside18.84%24.24%29.83%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 10 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
BNGA.JKPT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk8.91%$157.7256.96%
QIGD.QAQatari Investors Group Q.S.C.8.91%$0.1397.17%
MCS-R.BKM.C.S. Steel Public Company Limited8.90%$0.7434.29%
0QR1.LSchweiter Technologies AG8.89%$22.4090.72%
0816.HKJinmao Property Services Co., Limited8.88%$0.2355.27%
3492.TMIRARTH Real Estate Investment Corporation8.88%$8,301.0988.12%
3998.HKBosideng International Holdings Limited8.86%$0.4070.17%
PJP.WAPJP Makrum S.A.8.86%$1.4265.03%
603565.SSShanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co., Ltd.8.84%$0.8987.23%
ALVAP.PAKumulus Vape S.A.8.83%$0.3724.09%
IPS.PAIpsos S.A.8.83%$2.9938.93%
RFF.AXRural Funds Group8.83%$0.1715.19%
KOV.AXKorvest Ltd8.81%$1.2460.47%
0QUS.LG5 Entertainment AB (publ)8.80%$8.0594.74%
9620.SRBalsm Alofoq Medical Co.8.80%$2.4063.98%
PPM.AXPepper Money Limited8.80%$0.2044.77%
VK.PAVallourec S.A.8.80%$1.4183.22%
BBNI.JKPT Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk8.79%$374.4666.86%
KJL.BKKijcharoen Engineering Electric Public Company Limited8.79%$0.5473.06%
0856.HKVSTECS Holdings Limited8.78%$0.7147.24%
BA-R.BKBangkok Airways Public Company Limited8.78%$1.3083.23%
PFRM3.SAProfarma Distribuidora de Produtos Farmacêuticos S.A.8.78%$0.7478.88%
0001.HKCK Hutchison Holdings Limited8.77%$4.7359.96%
NOBLE-R.BKNoble Development Public Company Limited8.75%$0.1927.34%
RANA.OLRana Gruber ASA8.75%$6.7583.80%
PDG.BKProdigy Public Company Limited8.74%$0.2690.35%
WHC.AXWhitehaven Coal Limited8.74%$0.6856.57%
DLTA.JKPT Delta Djakarta Tbk8.73%$175.4299.09%
8371.HKTaste Gourmet Group Limited8.70%$0.1853.44%
TRAN.BACompañía de Transporte de Energía Eléctrica en Alta Tensión Transener S.A.8.70%$301.7991.83%
0257.HKChina Everbright Environment Group Limited8.69%$0.4235.73%
EMB.AXEmbelton Limited8.69%$0.7069.10%
HP3A.DERingmetall SE8.69%$0.2438.33%
RDTX.JKPT Roda Vivatex Tbk8.69%$1,103.9395.63%
S56.SISamudera Shipping Line Ltd8.69%$0.1060.61%
1307.TWSan Fang Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.8.68%$2.7091.10%
ASIZ.LAberforth Split Level Income ZDP 20248.68%$11.0447.29%
PIC.AXPerpetual Equity Investment Company Limited8.68%$0.1197.90%
CPHN.SWCPH Chemie + Papier Holding AG8.66%$5.9989.84%
JIN.AXJumbo Interactive Limited8.66%$0.9974.11%
PM-R.BKPremier Marketing Public Company Limited8.66%$1.0390.60%
0546.HKFufeng Group Limited8.65%$0.7030.72%
ITB.DEImperial Brands PLC8.65%$3.0955.77%
LOGG3.SALOG Commercial Properties e Participações S.A.8.64%$2.1949.79%
5547.TWOJioushun Construction Co., Ltd.8.63%$2.2658.13%
TWD.AXTamawood Limited8.62%$0.2480.43%
UNITED.HEUnited Bankers Oyj8.60%$1.6153.91%
DDR.AXDicker Data Limited8.58%$0.8796.73%
PATO.BKPato Chemical Industry Public Company Limited8.58%$0.6098.05%
0371.HKBeijing Enterprises Water Group Limited8.56%$0.2164.00%