Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

China XLX Fertiliser Ltd. (1866.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural InputsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$263.68 - $434.43$407.13
Multi-Stage$69.67 - $76.32$72.94
Blended Fair Value$240.03
Current Price$5.01
Upside4,691.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.53%17.09%0.240.260.200.090.080.100.070.030.070.05
YoY Growth---9.38%31.76%109.49%23.98%-21.33%39.63%113.32%-51.81%38.33%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.11%8.27%5.50%2.17%3.61%4.51%3.07%1.13%3.04%1.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,699.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)611.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,088.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)539.89337.43202.46
Cash Retained (M)2,088.012,088.012,088.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-539.89-337.43-202.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,548.131,750.581,885.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,235.741,235.741,235.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.251.421.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.251.421.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.751.912.02
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$263.68$407.13$434.43
Upside / Downside5,163.00%8,026.31%8,571.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,699.432,874.893,061.763,260.773,472.723,698.453,809.41
Payout Ratio22.65%36.12%49.59%63.06%76.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)611.421,038.411,518.322,056.242,657.673,328.613,523.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)968.61977.79986.97
Year 2 PV (M)1,321.071,346.241,371.64
Year 3 PV (M)1,668.861,716.761,765.58
Year 4 PV (M)2,012.002,089.382,168.96
Year 5 PV (M)2,350.552,464.092,581.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)77,778.9781,535.7285,436.25
Equity Value (M)86,100.0690,129.9794,311.37
Shares Outstanding (M)1,235.741,235.741,235.74
Fair Value$69.67$72.94$76.32
Upside / Downside1,290.71%1,355.81%1,423.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 10 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
BNGA.JKPT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk8.91%$157.7256.96%
QIGD.QAQatari Investors Group Q.S.C.8.91%$0.1397.17%
MCS-R.BKM.C.S. Steel Public Company Limited8.90%$0.7434.29%
0QR1.LSchweiter Technologies AG8.89%$22.4090.72%
0816.HKJinmao Property Services Co., Limited8.88%$0.2355.27%
3492.TMIRARTH Real Estate Investment Corporation8.88%$8,301.0988.12%
3998.HKBosideng International Holdings Limited8.86%$0.4070.17%
PJP.WAPJP Makrum S.A.8.86%$1.4265.03%
603565.SSShanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co., Ltd.8.84%$0.8987.23%
ALVAP.PAKumulus Vape S.A.8.83%$0.3724.09%
IPS.PAIpsos S.A.8.83%$2.9938.93%
RFF.AXRural Funds Group8.83%$0.1715.19%
KOV.AXKorvest Ltd8.81%$1.2460.47%
0QUS.LG5 Entertainment AB (publ)8.80%$8.0594.74%
9620.SRBalsm Alofoq Medical Co.8.80%$2.4063.98%
PPM.AXPepper Money Limited8.80%$0.2044.77%
VK.PAVallourec S.A.8.80%$1.4183.22%
BBNI.JKPT Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk8.79%$374.4666.86%
KJL.BKKijcharoen Engineering Electric Public Company Limited8.79%$0.5473.06%
0856.HKVSTECS Holdings Limited8.78%$0.7147.24%
BA-R.BKBangkok Airways Public Company Limited8.78%$1.3083.23%
PFRM3.SAProfarma Distribuidora de Produtos Farmacêuticos S.A.8.78%$0.7478.88%
0001.HKCK Hutchison Holdings Limited8.77%$4.7359.96%
NOBLE-R.BKNoble Development Public Company Limited8.75%$0.1927.34%
RANA.OLRana Gruber ASA8.75%$6.7583.80%
PDG.BKProdigy Public Company Limited8.74%$0.2690.35%
WHC.AXWhitehaven Coal Limited8.74%$0.6856.57%
DLTA.JKPT Delta Djakarta Tbk8.73%$175.4299.09%
8371.HKTaste Gourmet Group Limited8.70%$0.1853.44%
TRAN.BACompañía de Transporte de Energía Eléctrica en Alta Tensión Transener S.A.8.70%$301.7991.83%
0257.HKChina Everbright Environment Group Limited8.69%$0.4235.73%
EMB.AXEmbelton Limited8.69%$0.7069.10%
HP3A.DERingmetall SE8.69%$0.2438.33%
RDTX.JKPT Roda Vivatex Tbk8.69%$1,103.9395.63%
S56.SISamudera Shipping Line Ltd8.69%$0.1060.61%
1307.TWSan Fang Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.8.68%$2.7091.10%
ASIZ.LAberforth Split Level Income ZDP 20248.68%$11.0447.29%
PIC.AXPerpetual Equity Investment Company Limited8.68%$0.1197.90%
CPHN.SWCPH Chemie + Papier Holding AG8.66%$5.9989.84%
JIN.AXJumbo Interactive Limited8.66%$0.9974.11%
PM-R.BKPremier Marketing Public Company Limited8.66%$1.0390.60%
0546.HKFufeng Group Limited8.65%$0.7030.72%
ITB.DEImperial Brands PLC8.65%$3.0955.77%
LOGG3.SALOG Commercial Properties e Participações S.A.8.64%$2.1949.79%
5547.TWOJioushun Construction Co., Ltd.8.63%$2.2658.13%
TWD.AXTamawood Limited8.62%$0.2480.43%
UNITED.HEUnited Bankers Oyj8.60%$1.6153.91%
DDR.AXDicker Data Limited8.58%$0.8796.73%
PATO.BKPato Chemical Industry Public Company Limited8.58%$0.6098.05%
0371.HKBeijing Enterprises Water Group Limited8.56%$0.2164.00%