Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$142.40 - $252.45$188.92
Multi-Stage$155.27 - $169.59$162.30
Blended Fair Value$175.61
Current Price$260.76
Upside-32.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.11%9.08%5.775.505.254.984.694.503.833.202.802.53
YoY Growth--4.95%4.73%5.40%6.09%4.39%17.53%19.45%14.62%10.65%4.36%
Dividend Yield--2.33%2.07%2.16%2.38%2.12%3.16%2.58%2.04%2.11%2.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,026.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,761.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,265.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)605.20378.25226.95
Cash Retained (M)1,265.001,265.001,265.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-605.20-378.25-226.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)659.80886.751,038.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)293.73293.73293.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.253.023.53
LTM Dividend per Share6.006.006.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.253.023.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.249.019.53
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate3.11%4.11%5.11%
Fair Value$142.40$188.92$252.45
Upside / Downside-45.39%-27.55%-3.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,026.003,150.443,279.993,414.873,555.303,701.503,812.55
Payout Ratio58.20%64.56%70.92%77.28%83.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,761.002,033.812,326.082,638.952,973.623,331.353,526.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate3.11%4.11%5.11%
Year 1 PV (M)1,846.611,864.511,882.42
Year 2 PV (M)1,917.571,954.951,992.68
Year 3 PV (M)1,975.252,033.282,092.43
Year 4 PV (M)2,020.872,100.422,182.28
Year 5 PV (M)2,055.592,157.222,262.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,790.7037,560.2139,399.03
Equity Value (M)45,606.6047,670.5949,811.69
Shares Outstanding (M)293.73293.73293.73
Fair Value$155.27$162.30$169.59
Upside / Downside-40.45%-37.76%-34.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

Page 1 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
ARDCAres Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund, Inc.19.91%$2.6577.10%
JGHNuveen Global High Income Fund19.71%$2.4870.08%
BSLBlackstone / GSO Senior Floating Rate Term Fund19.66%$2.6595.83%
RGTRoyce Global Value Trust, Inc.19.58%$2.5637.89%
AIKIAIkido Pharma Inc.19.55%$0.7010.85%
PFNPIMCO Income Strategy Fund II19.43%$1.4672.85%
JLSNuveen Mortgage and Income Fund19.40%$3.5384.31%
ACVVirtus Diversified Income & Convertible Fund19.28%$5.0772.66%
BGBBlackstone/GSO Strategic Credit Fund19.19%$2.2686.72%
PHKPIMCO High Income Fund19.11%$0.9386.61%
DTWDTE Energy Company JR SUB DB 2017 E19.03%$4.0887.19%
EMDWestern Asset Emerging Markets Debt Fund Inc.18.84%$2.0378.17%
SR-PASpire Inc.18.76%$4.5498.60%
SRVNXG Cushing Midstream Energy Fund18.74%$7.5366.75%
CIKCredit Suisse Asset Management Income Fund, Inc.18.41%$0.5282.82%
DHYCredit Suisse High Yield Bond Fund, Inc.18.39%$0.3788.67%
MNRMach Natural Resources LP18.30%$2.0689.28%
PFLPIMCO Income Strategy Fund18.22%$1.5484.57%
EADWells Fargo Advantage Funds - Allspring Income Opportunities Fund18.08%$1.2352.27%
SPESpecial Opportunities Fund, Inc.18.03%$2.6644.19%
AIFApollo Tactical Income Fund Inc.17.93%$2.6660.44%
GABThe Gabelli Equity Trust Inc.17.77%$1.0881.70%
HPFJohn Hancock Preferred Income Fund II17.73%$2.8678.50%
MPVBarings Participation Investors17.65%$2.9395.78%
GBABGuggenheim Taxable Municipal Bond & Investment Grade Debt Trust17.43%$2.5974.37%
TEITempleton Emerging Markets Income Fund17.42%$1.1464.65%
ISDPGIM High Yield Bond Fund, Inc.17.40%$2.5296.64%
HIXWestern Asset High Income Fund II Inc.17.39%$0.7396.11%
NXGNXG NextGen Infrastructure Income Fund17.31%$8.7983.58%
HPIJohn Hancock Preferred Income Fund17.11%$2.7976.40%
RCSPIMCO Strategic Income Fund, Inc.17.08%$1.0075.51%
DUKBDuke Energy Corporation 5.625%16.95%$4.1965.28%
FGBFirst Trust Specialty Finance and Financial Opportunities Fund16.75%$0.7050.91%
RQICohen & Steers Quality Income Realty Fund, Inc.16.75%$1.9287.08%
FPFFirst Trust Intermediate Duration Preferred & Income Fund16.57%$3.0970.83%
EVVEaton Vance Limited Duration Income Fund16.43%$1.6364.70%
AIZNAssurant, Inc. 5.25% Subordinat16.41%$3.2219.47%
NMLNeuberger Berman MLP and Energy Income Fund Inc.16.37%$1.4040.22%
PGPPIMCO Global StocksPLUS & Income Fund16.31%$1.5060.66%
CHWCalamos Global Dynamic Income Fund16.07%$1.2066.54%
BGYBlackRock Enhanced International Dividend Trust15.99%$0.9499.21%
GABBXGabelli Dividend Growth AAA15.98%$2.8540.22%
BDJBlackRock Enhanced Equity Dividend Trust15.90%$1.4972.30%
DSLDoubleLine Income Solutions Fund15.85%$1.7854.50%
PDTJohn Hancock Premium Dividend Fund15.76%$2.0162.66%
TSQTownsquare Media, Inc.15.55%$0.7970.58%
EODWells Fargo Advantage Funds - Allspring Global Dividend Opportunity Fund15.39%$0.9052.51%
LGILazard Global Total Return and Income Fund, Inc.15.37%$2.6882.52%
BSTZBlackRock Science and Technology Trust II15.35%$3.5465.39%
FPIFarmland Partners Inc.15.34%$1.4893.00%